zakee wrote:Pettitte's a great example. 4.02 ERA, 6.3 IP per start, but because he had 21 wins and 180 Ks, he's far more valuable and popular than Ryan Franklin, who had a 3.57 ERA, averaged 6.6 IP per start, but had just 11 wins and only struck out 99. Or Kip Wells: 3.28 ERA, 6.3 IP per start, but only 10 wins and 147 Ks. It's utter lunacy that Pettitte had more value than Wells and Franklin last year.
Franklin was very lucky. Half his games in Safeco, plus a very LUCKY 25% hit rate (30% average). Pettitte had a 34% hit rate. Franklin had a 78% strand rate (bullpen), Andy 72 %. Franklin won't sniff a 4 era this year.
DK where did you get that sb % of 63.7? It's way too low. Using liniar weights, a sb is worth .17 of a run, and a caught stealing -.45. That means 73% is the break even point.