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Ellsbury

Postby cs3 » Sat Mar 19, 2011 5:17 am

What do you guys think about Jacoby Ellsbury's value this year?
It seems like i hear a lot about how "over rated" he is this year, and that "i would never draft where he is being picked".

however, i'm thinking the opposite may be true. On yahoo his ADP is 86, all the way in the 8th round which seems really late to me.
Im targetting him in the late 6th/early 7th round in all my drafts this year.

Last year he was consistently being taken inside the top 30, and he obviously had a very serious injury, but by all accounts he is 100% at this time. So do people think that he forgot how to hit, score, and run after missing so much time, or that hes going to crash into his third baseman again this year? Do they think hes really going to bat 9th and have his value drastically diminshed?

All the projections have him ranked inside the top 50 hitters, and thats only projecting ~490 ABs, so with his usual 600+ he should be one of the top 35 or so hitters... or am i missing something?
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby chadlincoln » Sat Mar 19, 2011 11:32 am

Shhhhhhhhhhhhhhh ;-D
7/26 - Cafe goes down:

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Re: Ellsbury

Postby Fenris-77 » Sat Mar 19, 2011 7:32 pm

I have him as a late 7th rounder, so I don't think it's unreasonable to bump him a round up from there on the right team. ;-D
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby rookies and cream » Sat Mar 19, 2011 7:51 pm

His MDP puts him in the mid 6th and his cafe ADP has him in the mid 5th. The latter seems about right to me.
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby Pogotheostrich » Sat Mar 19, 2011 9:28 pm

I think there have been some concerns about him not hitting lead-off. He's being hitting really well this Spring and it seems more likely that he hits lead-off so I would expect his ADP to go up.
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby kab21 » Sat Mar 19, 2011 10:11 pm

Just drafted him at the 6th/7th rd turn in a H2H 5x5 (OBP) draft. Pretty happy about that pick.
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby cs3 » Tue May 17, 2011 5:03 am

Thought i'd bump this thread to see what people think of Ellsbury now thats hes hot and has broken out of his cold start to the season.

At draft time I was very pleased that i got him right around pick #84 in both of my leagues, and im even more happy now with the way hes been hitting.
Do you expect him to continue this level of production throughout the year?

And I know its early, but what round do you see him going in next year?
How would you compare him with the likes of:
Cargo,
Granderson,
J. Upton,
McCutchen,
Rasmus,
Stubbs,
Crawford
(go ahead and rank them in order, or if you dont have the time for that then just tell me if you think these guys all belong in the same tier or if there a 2-3 distinct tiers of OF here)
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby jpbusta » Tue May 17, 2011 5:37 am

cs3 wrote:And I know its early, but what round do you see him going in next year?


Yes, like you said. It is early.
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby Ender » Tue May 17, 2011 9:08 am

I expect him to go in the 2nd round next year. People seem to forget he was a top 25 player in 2009 before the freak injury in 2010.
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Re: Ellsbury

Postby cs3 » Wed May 18, 2011 12:21 am

Ender wrote:I expect him to go in the 2nd round next year. People seem to forget he was a top 25 player in 2009 before the freak injury in 2010.

this is exactly why i thought he was such a bargain before the drafts began this season. i didnt understand why nobody thought he would produce the way we expected him to last year.

anybody want to take a crack at ranking these guys rest of season fantasy production?
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