What do you guys think about Jacoby Ellsbury's value this year?
It seems like i hear a lot about how "over rated" he is this year, and that "i would never draft where he is being picked".
however, i'm thinking the opposite may be true. On yahoo his ADP is 86, all the way in the 8th round which seems really late to me.
Im targetting him in the late 6th/early 7th round in all my drafts this year.
Last year he was consistently being taken inside the top 30, and he obviously had a very serious injury, but by all accounts he is 100% at this time. So do people think that he forgot how to hit, score, and run after missing so much time, or that hes going to crash into his third baseman again this year? Do they think hes really going to bat 9th and have his value drastically diminshed?
All the projections have him ranked inside the top 50 hitters, and thats only projecting ~490 ABs, so with his usual 600+ he should be one of the top 35 or so hitters... or am i missing something?