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Early draft questions

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Early draft questions

Postby oldmanbean » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:19 am

Some background information first. We are a keeper league, and 75 hitters plus 53 pitchers were kept this year. Our draft is 25 rounds, with 1st round costing $25, 2nd $23, 3rd $20, 4th $17, 5th $15. My particular budget has me with 13 picks, $77 available.

My needs are C, EH, and P, one each. of the 12 teams in our league, only 2 did not keep a catcher, and the other team is picking Ryan Howard first, so he cannot pick again until round 6, so I have 5 rounds to grab McCann. That being established, who in the lists below are worthy of early round picks?? The projected values are CBS projections. They normally do not give much value to prospects. The average projected value of the hitters kept was 630, pitchers 361. As you can see, there is not much above average left. Personally, I do not see anyone worthy of 1st or 2nd round dollars. Thanks!!!

Hitters:
Ortiz, David 651.00
Reynolds, Mark 638.00
Kemp, Matt 638.00
Markakis, Nick 638.00
Butler, Billy 628.00
Cuddyer, Michael 603.00
Stubbs, Drew 602.00
Victorino, Shane 602.00
Davis, Ike 598.00
Pena, Carlos 598.00
Lee, Derrek 594.00
Lind, Adam 594.00
Abreu, Bobby 587.00
Wells, Vernon 587.00
Zobrist, Ben 584.00
Sanchez, Gaby 583.00
Huff, Aubrey 576.00
Lee, Carlos 575.00
Loney, James 573.00
Pagan, Angel 571.00
Bay, Jason 570.00
Walker, Neil 568.00
Suzuki, Ichiro 564.00
LaRoche, Adam 563.00

Pitchers:
Beckett, Josh 381.00
Scherzer, Max 367.00
Rodriguez, Wandy 363.00
Volquez, Edinson 336.00
Lilly, Ted 330.00
Myers, Brett 325.00
Wilson, Brian 318.00
Floyd, Gavin 315.00
Shields, James 315.00
Baker, Scott 309.00
Nolasco, Ricky 306.00
Lackey, John 304.00
Zimmermann, Jordan 302.00
Kennedy, Ian 299.00
Zambrano, Carlos 299.00
Putz, J.J. 286.00
De La Rosa, Jorge 284.00
Braden, Dallas 283.00
Santana, Ervin 282.00
Slowey, Kevin 276.00
Jackson, Edwin 275.00
Niese, Jonathon 275.00
Gonzalez, Gio 273.00
Soria, Joakim 272.00



12 team points keeper league.
15 hitters, 10 pitchers.
1 point per TB, bb = 1, r = 1, rbi = 2, sb = 2, cs = -1
IP = 1, K = 1, W = 10, QS = 5, S = 5, BS = -5,L=-5,ER=-2,BB=-1
We start 1 at each position plus an EH. 6 pitchers, weeekly lineups



1B M Cabrera 26
2B K Johnson 9
3B R Zimmerman 10
SS E Andrus 7
OF J Bautista 9, H Pence 12, N Swisher 6
P H Bell 6, J Hellickson 7, D Hudson 9, C Lee 17, B Morrow 5
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby tanyon » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:30 am

Not exactly sure about the $$ side of things, but from a practical standpoint, Matt Kemp is better than a lot of those 70+ hitters that were kept. I would be tempted to spend a first round pick on him. I think he deserves another year before everybody gives up hope on him. You could really be getting a steal if he lives up to some projections I've seen.

Besides him, I would target Stubbs with a later-round pick. He should be a good value in 2011. Hope this helps a little.
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby Duck Duck Davis » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:55 am

Thanks for the help on mine.

I agree that there probably isn't anyone worth first or second round money left, but I am, like the last poster, still high on Kemp. I certainly wouldn't have had any problem spending money on him last year and think there is a good chance he performs at an elite level again. Something to consider.
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby oldmanbean » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:09 pm

I am picking last in each round, so I have to (in my mind) jump one round early. Kemp was a 5th rounder last year, I am guessing he will go 4th at the latest, so I would have to grab him 3rd round ($20). McCann at 5 ($15) leaves me my next 3 picks in rounds 8,9 and 13. PItching will be gone by then!! That is what makes our league interesting, early picks mean later picks. Were someone to grab Kemp before me, I think I would hold off until 5th round, and then I would have 5,6,7,8,9,and 10. Sleepers and prospects I think will be my lot this year.

Thanks....

PS are any of those pitchers worth 4th round money?? Perhaps I should have split the post ...
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby SwampDonkey » Sun Mar 06, 2011 2:03 pm

I am going to have to agree with above posters, you say none of the players are above average scoring, but look at Kemp's numbers:
2010 Statistics 602 82 28 89 53 170 19 .249 .310 .450 .760
Now i don't know how your league values numbers, but if you add in 8-9 more steals which could be the low side for him, a better batting average which will help his all around numbers, he is still on his way to 30-35 homers. I feel like he could be around the 800 pt. range, maybe not? Total guess
Obviously everyone has their own opinions but I would even do a second round pick on what could be a top 10 player this year. ;-D
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby oldmanbean » Sun Mar 06, 2011 2:34 pm

SwampDonkey wrote:I am going to have to agree with above posters, you say none of the players are above average scoring, but look at Kemp's numbers:
2010 Statistics 602 82 28 89 53 170 19 .249 .310 .450 .760
Now i don't know how your league values numbers, but if you add in 8-9 more steals which could be the low side for him, a better batting average which will help his all around numbers, he is still on his way to 30-35 homers. I feel like he could be around the 800 pt. range, maybe not? Total guess
Obviously everyone has their own opinions but I would even do a second round pick on what could be a top 10 player this year. ;-D


I should have worded that better perhaps. The average point value of KEEPERS was 630, Kemp 638, so he is right around average. 10 more steals, 648. 5 more HRs, 668. I could take him second round, but that would give me picks at 2-5-8-10-15. Doable, but not sure if practical. Next year he would cost me $25, and his previous owner did not even keep him at $17.

Thanks for the input ....
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Re: Early draft questions

Postby oldmanbean » Mon Mar 07, 2011 1:05 am

Need some input on the pitchers.... are there any there that look worthy of an early (1-5) pick, knowing the dollar values of each round (25-23-20-17-15)???

Not much to choose from.....
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