Interesting. I do have my reservations about Werth - the new lineup, the ballpark (in which he actually has a .960 OPS over 25 games) and the impact of the contract (tries too hard to live up to it - especially if he gets into a funk, or gets lazy).
However, I'm thinking 'when in doubt, go with power'. Based on projections, Werth instead of Rios is giving up 10 SBs for 10 HR and a few extra R and RBI. Rios' inconsistency is scary and I don't think I'm willing to use a keeper spot on that much hope.
Avg. of various projections:
Werth: 90 R 29 HR 95 RBI 17 SB .275 AVG
What They're Saying: Yahoo: #17 Outfielder & #64 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #15 Outfielder; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #55 Overall; John Halpin of Fox Sports: #37 Overall; RotoChamp: #44 Overall
Rios: 85 R 19 HR 86 RBI 29 SB .279 AVG
What They're Saying: Yahoo: #18 Outfielder & #66 Overall; CBS Sportsline: #16 Outfielder; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #52 Overall; John Halpin of Fox Sports: #24 Overall; RotoChamp: #64 Overall