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Who should I keep?

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Who should I keep?

Postby Duck Duck Davis » Fri Mar 04, 2011 7:21 pm

Our league has a new rule this year about keepers and, having not seen it play out, I'm just not sure which strategy to use. We used to just keep 4 guys and they would go in rounds 1-4. Now the guys we keep get slotted in a place two rounds before they were drafted last year.

This is a standard Yahoo! 5x5 12 man league with 4 keepers

Here are my possiblities with the round in which they would be slotted:

Adrian Gonzalez (1)
Ryan Braun (2)
Ian Kinsler (1)
David Wright (1)
Jose Reyes (2)
Jason Heyward (15)
Mat Latos (19)
Clayton Kershaw (5)
Tommy Hanson (5)

If guys are kept with the same round, one of the guys goes to the next lower round. For example, should I keep Gonzalez and Kinsler, one would be drafted in round 1 and one would be my second rounder.

Like I said, this is a new rule and I have no idea what the other teams will do or how much value I should place on keeping a guy like Heyward over a guy like Braun to save 13 rounds. After going into the last day of the year tied with another manager last year and losing by one (mostly because I traded him Posey before he busted out), I have been hanging my head in shame and thinking about this all offeason. Any advice?

Thanks in advance.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby hoosierdaddy785 » Fri Mar 04, 2011 7:45 pm

Duck Duck Davis wrote:Adrian Gonzalez (1) ;-D
Ryan Braun (2) ;-D
Ian Kinsler (1)
David Wright (1)
Jose Reyes (2)
Jason Heyward (15) ;-D
Mat Latos (19) ;-D
Clayton Kershaw (5) ;-D
Tommy Hanson (5)

viewtopic.php?t=423158
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby Swipe79 » Fri Mar 04, 2011 8:40 pm

I think Wright might be worth considering as well as the others.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby MaudDib » Sat Mar 05, 2011 12:02 pm

Duck Duck Davis wrote:Adrian Gonzalez (1) ;-D
Ryan Braun (2) ;-D
Ian Kinsler (1)
David Wright (1) ;-D
Jose Reyes (2)
Jason Heyward (15) ;-D
Mat Latos (19)
Clayton Kershaw (5)
Tommy Hanson (5)


Thanks in advance.


Latos is good value but not over keeping 3 top 10 type players. Love Heyward with a 15.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby Duck Duck Davis » Sat Mar 05, 2011 11:42 pm

Thanks to those who have responded.

A follow up: Should I look at position scarcity and keep a guy like Reyes or Kinsler considering the depth of the OF position compared to the middle infield? Or is the idea of getting Heyward so cheaply while being able to pick in the fourth round too good to pass up?

I know that if this were just a straight keeper situation, I would probably keep Wright, Gonzalez, Braun and either Kinsler or Reyes. I just don't want to end up with junk at either 2B or SS like I have in years past. But, at the same time, don't want to play this new keeper rule wrong and waste a situation at a high pick while getting a good player cheaply.

Advice?

Thanks in advance.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby MaudDib » Sat Mar 05, 2011 11:57 pm

The value for Heyward is better than the value for Reyes/Kinsler no matter what position they play at. Saying that, I would be hard pressed to let Heyward go back into the draft no matter what. There is a lot to like about Heyward and see him as a future top 20 player.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby tanyon » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:42 am

I think you go:

AGon
Wright
Braun
Heyward

If you pick a SP, be sure and get Latos. At round 19, his value is worth way more than Kershaw or Hanson.

Don't worry about positions that much just yet. You should be able to get somebody comparable in the draft...Uggla/Pedroia.
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby oldmanbean » Sun Mar 06, 2011 1:49 am

Any way to project the other keepers?? If you go th eway most are suggesting, you would not have a pick until round 4. Would everyone else do that perhaps?? Also, where do you draft slotwise?? If you could be sure of having and early pick, you might let one oe the hitters go and draft them back in the 3rd round.... risky, but might be doable, then you could keep Latos at 19!

help??

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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby Acholder » Sun Mar 06, 2011 2:17 am

Wright, A Gonz, braun, Latos and Heyward... first 3 are solid top round players that u would be taking and then Latos and Heyward for value here... Kershaw is good but not for a 3rd round pick and same goes for Hanson... Also Kinsler and Reyes arnt get values for those early of a pick


I think those 5 do you fine, get probably the best 3b in Wright, a solid 1b at a stacked position, Braun top 3 OF.... Latos a solid #1b pitcher and then Heyward has a lot of value for year to come

Just trying to figure this out does Heyward who now you have to take in the 15th become a 13th next year or does he stay @ a 15?
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Re: Who should I keep?

Postby Duck Duck Davis » Sun Mar 06, 2011 2:23 am

Thanks for the response.

Heyward becomes a 13th next year.

Also, we can only keep 4. Assuming I keep the first three, should I go with Heyward or Latos?

Thanks.
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