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NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

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NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby Whalewang » Tue Mar 01, 2011 6:48 pm

9 team NL only keeper league; standard 5x5 roto; $260 budget; 12 keeper max; 23 roster positions (9 pitcher & 14 hitters including 1 utl spot);

Do I keep a $1 Seth Smith (tying up my utility slot) or keep a $36 Reyes? I have $132 tied up w/out accounting for one of these two.

Pos	Batters			$$	Contract
3B Alvarez, Pedro 5 2 of 3
SS Tulowitzki, Troy 25 4of4LT
OF Brown, Domonic 5 2 of 3
OF Heyward, Jason 5 2 of 3
OF Kemp, Matt 16 3of4LT
OF McCutchen, Andrew 10 1of4LT
OF Upton, Justin 20 3of4LT

P Gallardo, Yovani 20 3of4LT
P Hanson, Tommy 10 1of4LT
P Kershaw, Clayton 15 2of4LT
P Franklin, Ryan 1 3 of 3

(?) Smith, Seth 1 2 of 3
(?) Reyes, Jose 36 2 of 3


Thanks in advance.
Last edited by Whalewang on Wed Mar 02, 2011 2:47 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: NL only - Final keeper

Postby Fish Tacos » Tue Mar 01, 2011 10:35 pm

Take Smith and put the money towards a power hitter, you already have Tulo at SS anyway.
Thanks for the help with mine
C Montero
C Iannetta
1B AGon
2B Altuve
3B Moustakas
SS Desmond
CI Youk
MI Kendrick
OF Heyward
OF CarGo
OF McCutch
Util A Ramirez(SS)
BN Revere,Moreland,Viciedo
DL Hart
SP Kershaw, Scherzer
RP Hanrahan, Street
P Henderson, Anderson, Boggs
BN Wheeler,Lynn
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby hanny2042 » Wed Mar 02, 2011 12:07 pm

I would go with Smith. You have Tulo already and can use the extra 35 from Reyes to spend elsewhere. Reyes is obviously valuable, especially in an NL only, but I think the value lies in Smith.

Thanks for the help on mine!
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby mak1277 » Wed Mar 02, 2011 12:47 pm

Love me some NL-only questions.

I think you'd want to keep Smith, with one caveat. You have to predict what the inflation factor is going to be post-keepers. At face value, $1 for Smith is a better deal than $36 for Reyes. What do you think Reyes is going to go for in the re-auction though?
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby galante22 » Wed Mar 02, 2011 1:06 pm

def smith for 1$. trust it comming from a met fan, 36$ is way overpaying for reyes espically when you have tulo



help with mine
viewtopic.php?t=422932
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby Whalewang » Wed Mar 02, 2011 1:09 pm

mak1277 wrote:What do you think Reyes is going to go for in the re-auction though?


Reyes will go for somewhere between $40-$50 with the average being $45.
I'm having a much more difficult time determining Smith's auction price.
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby mak1277 » Wed Mar 02, 2011 1:15 pm

Whalewang wrote:
mak1277 wrote:What do you think Reyes is going to go for in the re-auction though?


Reyes will go for somewhere between $40-$50 with the average being $45.
I'm having a much more difficult time determining Smith's auction price.


If you're starting 14 hitters, I assume you have a MI spot? I think you're pretty much on the borderline here, given inflation, although you're still going to get slightly better value from Smith relative to cost (if I had to guess).

That said, do you have any sense as to the other 2b/ss that will be kept by other teams? Since you need a 2b and a MI, you don't want to get caught with two scrubs at the bottom because everyone keeps the good middle infielders.

I think purely from a value vs. cost perspective, you should keep Smith....but....you need to try and gauge what you'll be able to get in the auction for your middle infield spots. I could see scenarios where keeping Reyes is the right play.
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Re: NL only - Final keeper -- WHIR

Postby Whalewang » Wed Mar 02, 2011 1:57 pm

mak1277 wrote:If you're starting 14 hitters, I assume you have a MI spot? I think you're pretty much on the borderline here, given inflation, although you're still going to get slightly better value from Smith relative to cost (if I had to guess).

That said, do you have any sense as to the other 2b/ss that will be kept by other teams? Since you need a 2b and a MI, you don't want to get caught with two scrubs at the bottom because everyone keeps the good middle infielders.

I think purely from a value vs. cost perspective, you should keep Smith....but....you need to try and gauge what you'll be able to get in the auction for your middle infield spots. I could see scenarios where keeping Reyes is the right play.


Yes there is a MI spot. Utley/Philips are not being kept. Uggla/Weeks/Prado/Johnson/Uribe/Walker are being kept. EY/Espinosa/Infante may be kept. Hudson/Sanchez/Hall/Schumaker are all draftable.

Based on all the comments I'm now heavily leaning toward Smith. Another wrinkle in our system is we lose the player if he goes to the AL. Well when the Mets Fail, they could ship him off in a trade -- which increases the risk of not having him for an entire season.
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