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Keeper Conundrum: Nolasco, Bailey, Victorino, Soto? - WHIR

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Keeper Conundrum: Nolasco, Bailey, Victorino, Soto? - WHIR

Postby plapre3 » Sat Feb 19, 2011 5:02 pm

First off, we may keep between 5 and 10 players headed into next season, losing a pick in the remaining player draft for each keeper after 5. As such, that means in order to keep 10 players, a guy should be roughly considered a top 140 pick. If a guy would be my 9th keeper, he should be seen as a top 126 player. Younger players and starting pitchers tend to be at a premium so consider that when thinking of a top 140 pick.

The conundrum is this: I feel like my top 8 guys are set, but am I better off testing the draft for the remaining picks or keeping some of them? Victorino goes around the 8th round in many mock drafts, and I even buy into the idea of a bounceback for him (mostly because of his solid track record and low for him BABIP last year), but this league does count OPS... how much value does that cost him? Additionally, I think Nolasco and Colby Lewis will be very solid in 2011, but is either a top 140 pick? Part of me wants to keep both guys and have a staff of Halladay, Lester, Weaver, Lewis, and Nolasco set. Is that crazy? I'm a bit worried that I don't have a closer to keep as they go early in our league and all of the top guys will be kept. Bailey is a beast when healthy, but he's a risk and the recent signing of Fuentes is a bit troubling. Finally, I've posted a similar situation recently on the board and two posters suggested keeping Snider. In an OPS league, it might make some sense, and most projections have him at over 25 homers, but I'm just not too knowledgeable about they guy.

8 Definite keepers: Prince, Kinsler, Hanley, Youkilis, Choo, Halladay, Lester, and Weaver (and free keeper Brandon Belt)
Others to consider: Shane Victorino, Colby Lewis, Ricky Nolasco, Andrew Bailey, Travis Snider, Geovanny Soto, Jordan Zimmermann,
Picks in place of keepers: 9th (126) and 10th (140)

Thanks, all, in advance for your help. Please leave a link and I will respond.
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5 SP and 3 RP
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Re: Keeper Conundrum: Nolasco, Bailey, Victorino, Soto? - WHIR

Postby raiders_umpire » Sat Feb 19, 2011 5:55 pm

I would keep Victorino and throw the rest back.
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Re: Keeper Conundrum: Nolasco, Bailey, Victorino, Soto? - WHIR

Postby MaudDib » Sun Feb 20, 2011 10:58 am

I am not sold on Victorino having a bounce back year. He is on the wrong side of 30 and his best days are behind him. I would expect last years numbers and anything else is gravy.

Any idea what would be around for that 8th pick? I think I would let them all go and see what is available come draft time.
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Re: Keeper Conundrum: Nolasco, Bailey, Victorino, Soto? - WHIR

Postby raiders_umpire » Sun Feb 20, 2011 11:06 am

MaudDib wrote:I am not sold on Victorino having a bounce back year. He is on the wrong side of 30 and his best days are behind him. I would expect last years numbers and anything else is gravy.

Any idea what would be around for that 8th pick? I think I would let them all go and see what is available come draft time.



You don't expect Victorino to finish in the top 110 or so which is the pick he would gain by throwing Victorino back? 40 homers and steals combined should easily be worth a 9th round pick.
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