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How much do you factor in Spring results?

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Postby stomperrob » Sat Mar 27, 2004 7:57 pm

Can be useful to show you who's playing full strength and not injured
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Postby AcidRock23 » Sat Mar 27, 2004 9:29 pm

I think that you'd have to do quite a bit of research to really use spring training stats for much of anything. I'd imagine a lot of players will have few qualms about trying a new hitch in their swing or new pitch or something and not worry about stinking it up. A lot of what guys do probably depends on their role on a team.

For example, if a hitter happens to bat against a pitcher whose trying to figure out a changeup or something, if the pitch isn't quite there, 'whee, batting practice!'. It seems like it'd be fairly easy to figure out a way to compare Spring Training and Regular Stats to see how one might weigh Spring Training though. Does anybody have any sources that might do this?
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Postby Baseballer02 » Sat Mar 27, 2004 9:38 pm

I was just about to make a post on the fact that I find it hilarious that when somebody is having an excellent spring they're like, "Look at him this spring!!! Pick him up now he'll have an excellent year!!", but when somebody is doing bad it's, "Spring training stats don't even matter, they'll bounce back."
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Postby DGroundhog » Sun Mar 28, 2004 12:21 am

All I've really gleaned form ST stats is little things like Mark Loretta might be in for another good year. Beltran had a nice spring, I wasn't that big of a Beltran guy (wasn't in my top 7 pre ST), but he jumped into my top 5. Bonds has definitely been encouraging. I still think he misses alot of games, but the steroid issue and his HR totals are probably nothing to worry about.

I wouldn't get down on Santana for a poor spring. Many times guys are working on new pitches, buildng strength, etc. Definitely take note of borderline guys that are performing well, but I don't put too much stock into a pitchers poor ST totals.
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