If he plays this year, it wont be until September. If you are drafting in a keeper league, he's definitely draftable, with the intention of not using this year.
He hasn't had a professional plate appearance yet. I guess if he goes all Roy Hobbs on MiLB pitching he could see some September action if the Nats need to sell a few more seats for 2011. I would think that 2011 for him would be more about getting him accustomed to the grind than anything else. I would think that a 2012 debut makes more sense as a best case scenario.
The only way he sees the majors this year is if he has a September call-up stipulated in his contract (I believe Andrew Miller and/or Cameron Maybin did previously, not 100% certain of that though). BA suggests if he impresses in the spring he may open up in High Single-A, which would be a good starting point. I think a reasonable ETA would be May/June of 2013, perhaps a September callup NEXT year if he absolutely murders the ball. I wouldn't touch him in a shallow keeper league at this point though, and I'm as big a prospect sucker as anyone, but he's literally going to eat up a roster spot for this year, probably most or all of next year, and barring him hitting the ground running will have adjustments to make when he reaches the majors. Those in Dynasty leagues or deep keeper leagues obviously should realize he's a tremendous player to own/target.
Harper doesn't turn 19 until October, soo this year should be out of the question. If he's called up it will be to get him familiar with the MLB surroundings. Travel with the team, maybe pinch hit a few times. If he's doing great in the minors he might start next year in AAA, but that'd be if he had a monster year this year. Possibly late September call-up with playing time in 2012? He's so young there's no point in rushing him, opening day 2013 he'll only be 20.
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The sheen has kinda worn off him lately hasn't it? There are some serious questions about his ability to hit for average, his ability to find a position, his makeup, and his timetable. His ceiling is incredible because of the plus plus power, but his floor is Brandon Wood. He doesn't make an impact until 2013, and probably doesn't play a full season in MLB until 2014.
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Steve-o wrote:The sheen has kinda worn off him lately hasn't it? There are some serious questions about his ability to hit for average, his ability to find a position, his makeup, and his timetable. His ceiling is incredible because of the plus plus power, but his floor is Brandon Wood. He doesn't make an impact until 2013, and probably doesn't play a full season in MLB until 2014.
I think you're really off base here. I have not read anything about a poor BA, lack of position, makeup, or timetable. His position has changed from catcher to RF (to get his bat more quickly to the bigs) to CF (they signed Werth to a 7 year contract). This shows how athletic he is. He's potentially more valuable as CFer also. He's shown to have a good work ethic, confident, and well motivated to learn and adapt. His timetable has not changed, he will get called up when he's ready...potential earliest eta 2012. Lastly he's never shown an inability to not hit for average at any stage. He averaged over .600 in two years of high school ball, hit .442 in junior college (age 17), and hit .343 in the AFL last year.
Whalewang wrote:he's never shown an inability to not hit for average
need a decoder for that. I think you forgot to carry the 1.
I don't think we can really come to any conclusions about a change in their timetable for him until we see him actually play some pro games, preferably AA.
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by lastingsgriller » Mon Feb 14, 2011 12:38 pm 
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need a decoder for that. I think you forgot to carry the 1.
