mblax10 wrote: Havok1517 wrote:
Might I suggest Edward Salcedo to be added to your potential SS selection list. http://scoutingthesally.com/scouting-re ... ta-braves/
Instead of predictions, which are hard to gauge without age, I'll give you some potential peak comps...
Grant Green = Cal Ripken, Jr.
Jurickson Profar = Starlin Castro (peak predicted)
Billy Hamilton = Edgar Renteria
Dee Gordon = Ozzie Smith (without the glove)
Edward Salcedo = Hanley Ramirez
Jean Segura = Orlando Cabrera
This is a great example of why MLB comps are such a bad idea. Ripken, Ozzie & Hanley are once in a generation or longer talents. There's less than 1% chance that any 3 guys currently in the minors match their peeks.
Hamilton probably doesn't have the arm to stay at SS. The Renteria comp is also pretty weak. If Hamilton makes the majors, he'll pass Renteria's best SB total in his first full season.
I'm also agree with Salcedo being vastly overrated here. He's not even the most exciting SS in the Braves organization.
I agree that placing these types of comps are ridiculous at best and I respect Havok's opinions but the names being tossed about are just not very likely for most if any to attain.
That being said Salcedo is not Hanley. Hanley had elite level speed while scouts grade Salcedo as average at best. Hanley has been a butcher at SS but has gotten better over the years but to compare any prospect with an MVP caliber hitter seems unrealistic let alone a 19 year old kid that does have good tools but lacks a lot of baseball skills right now. Will he get better? Probably....but there have been a ton of prospects that pass "an eyeball test" including Brandon Wood, Andy Marte, Joel Guzman (....need we go on?) that never make a mark in the majors.
I think it's also unlikely to expect a 19 year old with average speed right now to not outgrow shortstop down the road. This was a shortstop of the future question so I believe we should be looking at prospects that at least appear to have a good shot of sticking at SS.
Like others have said Hamilton has serious questions about his arm and the Renteria comp doesn't make much sense as Hamilton likely never hits more than 10 homeruns at best but should steal 50 plus bases given the chance.
Comparing Profar to Castro seems odd just because we are not exactly sure what Castro will become. We have an idea but his power may not show up down the road...hard to say really when comparing an 18 year old to a 21 year old and talking about primes.
I understand if you really believe in Salcedo's tools as they are good but like Villalona's power or any other import we really need to see some production before lift them up to Hanley comparisons let alone any other all star. Just remember.....there are way more prospects that fail to live up to their potential than prospects that maximize their natural abilities.