Konerko is like the 11th-12th 1B off the board, around 7th-8th round. He won't be a top 10 guy next year but he will always have pop and if you waited that long to get a 1B, you might as well shoot for the moon on a guy who can provide the first round production at 1B you passed up for other needs.
.270/32/105 IMO. He'll be like Kendry Morales minus .015 points in AVG and more downside, which is about the value of a four-round discount.
I'm a big Konerko guy and have thought he was underrated the past few years for the power he brings you. But come on, last year was an anomaly. If you take 7th-8th round guys based solely on potential, there's a lot of young guys with as good of or better chance to put up better numbers than him.
In seasons he started since he turned 30 he's hit 31, 22, 28, 29 HRs (in that order). I don't see how you can call 32 HRs any sort of baseline projection. The arithmetic average of those is 27.5, and there's no reason to state his 2009 season was from some type of hitting improvement from Konerko. It was lucky. He's still an upper 20's HR guy with decent counting stats (the ave from those same years is 73.5 runs and 87.8 RBI) and average (.273) that doesn't run. A 75/28/90/1/.275 line is about the best you can honestly expect from the guy at this point in his career. He's a late-teens pick with power and anything else you get or got from him was gravy.
Unless his draft spot falls significantly, this will be the first year in a long while that I won't own Paul in any of my leagues.