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Thoughts on Carl Pavano?

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Thoughts on Carl Pavano?

Postby TheRock » Fri Mar 26, 2004 8:17 pm

From Rotoworld today:
Carl Pavano pitched two-hit ball for seven shutout innings today against the Mets.
Pavano has a 1.80 ERA in four starts. He's been extremely efficient, giving up just 11 hits and one walk in 20 innings. He's also struck out just seven betters, but the fewer pitches he throws, the more likely he is to stay healthy for a second year in a row.


Not a terribly exciting guy, I know. But consider some stats from last year:
K/9: 5.96(call it 6)
K/BB: 2.71
BB/9: 2.19
HR/9: 0.85

That's not bad. In fact not bad at all. Qualifies as a LIMA guy in every cat. 28 years old, could this guy break out? Where do you rank him against late round guys like say Lawrence, Washburn, Cliff Lee, Eaton, etc.?
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Carl Pavano

Postby recmccl » Fri Mar 26, 2004 8:43 pm

He's available in my league too. ESPN has him rated at #71. Is he underrated? Does he belong with/over Jerome Williams, Eaton, Milton, etc..?

Thanks
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Postby DieHardCubbie » Fri Mar 26, 2004 9:49 pm

I am looking for something ~4.30 and a ~1.3 WHIP....with 12 wins and 140 K's..... :-?
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Postby sportznow » Fri Mar 26, 2004 9:54 pm

okay, i got the low down on Pavano, since he is my favorite player.
you might have noticed him in the world series last season.
he pitched against Clemens and did very well but didn't get the win for the game because the closer blew it. anyways, i would say hes a good sleeper. Pavano was traded for Pedro Martinez back when Martinez was on the Expos, so he must have potential right?
Last season he was 12-13 with a 4.30 ERA.
This season he's pitching very well in spring training like you said and could possibly win 15 games and have an ERA around 4.00.
So maybe not as good as a Jerome Williams yet, considering the Marlins downgraded the offense this season but a good sleeper who is a great pick in deeper leagues and keeper leagues.
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Postby mikeprovri » Sat Mar 27, 2004 1:29 am

I have my eye on Pavano for the final round in my draft. Right now, it's toss-up between him, John Thomson, Adam Eaton, and BK Kim (I can't bring myself to draft D. Wells, Sheets, or Burnett). How does Pavano compare to these guys???
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Postby mikeprovri » Sat Mar 27, 2004 9:39 am

In response to the original post...

In my current slow-draft, he's been taken behind Lee and WAY behind Washburn. Eaton and Lawrence (along w/ Pavano) are still available. Personally, I'd have them as:

Washburn
Eaton/Pavano (toss-up...see previous post)
Lee
.
.
.
Lawrence (I don't think much of him)
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Postby sportznow » Sat Mar 27, 2004 9:57 am

mikeprovri wrote:I have my eye on Pavano for the final round in my draft. Right now, it's toss-up between him, John Thomson, Adam Eaton, and BK Kim (I can't bring myself to draft D. Wells, Sheets, or Burnett). How does Pavano compare to these guys???


i would put Pavano at the top compared to those guys.
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Postby sinicalypse » Sat Mar 27, 2004 4:08 pm

he's got a hot girlfriend (alyssa milano)

and considering he's half of pedro martinez, a 15ish win sub-4 era season would be damn nice.

(tony armas jr is the other half of pedro, btw)
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