Queue the "woe is me all is lost for the town posturing" - without a lucky pile-on to a mafia member on Day one or the presence of the ISK, this is pretty much the way I always see Day 1 going. Hopefully we got enough information in Day 1 to at least make this day more interesting/informative if nothing else.
I wasn't around much this weekend and certainly did my fair share of lurking/being bored to death in the first couple of days of the game before I had a busy weekend as well, but I don't really buy into the crucifixion of those who are quiet on Day 1. I am almost more likely to worry about those who say a lot on Day 1 and then lurk it up and throw around the occasional cheap shot thereafter.
Quick post #s breakdown: Actually kind of hard to point out a true lurker in the first round as it seemed from the surface that only Mookie and urban - to a certain extent - were willing to get in there and mix it up. Eight of the 11 people playing had between 4 (lastings was the lowest) and 8 posts. thedude topped the list with 17 with Mookie having 12 and Dan coming in at 10 - so basically my point in that regard is that I don't buy into posting numbers/involvement as any sort of stand-alone factor at this point, and call it what you may since I was in the "bottom 1/3" in a small sample size, but just putting that out there.
At this point, I really don't have a feeling about most people - Mookie is talking a lot and urban and thedude are throwing out a bunch of nonsense and a couple of accusations along the way, but mostly seem like they are bored/feeling things out whichever side they the may end up on. Everyone else other than the two I'm about to mention below hasn't really given me a read at this point, so I'll keep my competely unsubstantiated thoughts to myself at this point...
I have to initial feelings of people who are Nos. 1 and 2 on my list, and for different reasons for sure.
- Inukchuk - made only a handful of posts and basically mixed in about 4-5 nonsense posts/fighting with the "voice of God" and a few posts where it seemed like he wanted to make sure the lurkers were known, but also lumped himself into the "group" so as to not stand out or seem too accusatory.
Inukchuk wrote:I've never been a fan of accusing someone for just not being around. We all have outside lives and accusing someone because of that is backward reasoning, imo. If you got cast as mafia, don't you think you'd be more inclined to be around to see how things are shaking down? I've been mafia in the past and it is far more exciting than being a normal townie.
Seems like laying the groundwork for being a lurker mafioso if I have ever heard one. Put this together with the fact that he picked on Aqua and I - though not outwardly himself, J35J (who he voted for and who was lynched as a townie) or StlSluggers (not to mention all the others with a similar level of involvement) seems like he's setting up a patsy for making himself the innocent lurking bored townie and for someone else (most likely someone he has continually pointed out after his nonsense/rants) to be the mafioso I believe him to be at this point...Wouldn't be surprised if he tried to turn the heat up on Aqua for lurking and then chipping in Vote #5 for J, a now-dead known townie, but I am always more worried about those middle votes of Nos. 2-4 when it comes to sniffing out the sneakier of the mafioso.
Which leads me to:
- thedude - much more lukewarm about him right now, but the fact that I have a strong feeling for Inukchuk and he's been playing the chatty Cathy mafia member bit quite nicely make me suspicious. Almost 20 % of the posts made (not that big of a deal on the surface), put together with the fact that he said very little in the process AND quietly casted the second vote for J35J to get the ball rolling (which was then followed by Inuk and a couple of the other "lurkers") gives me cause for pause. Also was in agreement with one of the few serious posts made by Inuk...like I said before, not that strong at this point, but just sayin'...