wrveres wrote:speed should be devalued in a weekly H2H league. Its right up there with wins, as one of the most fluky categories for H2H play. imo.
Mebbe it's because the leagues I play in always have 2 or 3 teams that punt steals, but I've found that steal totals correlate really well with H2H Steal win %. About the only stat that is more reliable is strike outs. Course I've only got the numbers for 5 leagues I've been in, so small sample size caveats apply here. Runs and RBIs have been the least reliable, and Average has been the least damaging stat to punt (The worst teams still win almost 40% of the time).
I think the theory of not taking pitchers early is an attempt to "seize the moment" if you will, by taking advantage of bats when the majority goes for arms. I hope I don't sound out of line when I say that "being in an experienced league" doesn't make taking pitchers early is a mistake.
I find zigging when everyone else is zagging to be the best approach. My "experienced league" (25+ years old, I am the new guy at 7 years) is, and always will be pitching happy in early rounds, but I still don't go in with any sort of game plan except to grab values starting in the second round.
Just my opinion of course.