Fenway Punk wrote:Being able to obtain Zach in the 5-6 round to me is a great value. We've seen what he can do when he wants to. In that division, and with run support... well, let's just be glad it won't cost a round 3 pick like it did last year.
Eh, I wouldn't exactly say it's great
value. It's not exactly a given that he returns to his 09 ways. From an FIP/xFIP standpoint, his numbers last year were quite similar to 08. This would indicate to me that perhaps last year could have been a bit of an outlier.
Whether or not that is the case remains to be seen, but I feel like there's a bit too much risk to take him as high as the 4th or 5th in a 12 teamer. To me, there are 10 or so pitchers I'd take before Greinke that would seem to be safer picks...