Hicks - Went from wRC+ of 106 last season to a wRC+ of 132 this season. Not the jump that everyone expects, but it is improvement. I love the guys potential, and while he probably carries more risk than some of the guys below him, he also carries more upside. Probably my most aggressive ranking, so I will either eat crow, or look great. Hopefully it is the later. Others have him in the top 20. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/10/ ... ly-top-100
While another has him top 25http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/10/ ... rospects-2
So while my ranking is aggressive, it is not as much as you seem to think it is.
Tallion - Great potential sure, but I want to see a little 1st. I found him hard to rank, moving him up a few, and down a few.
Sano - Again, you love the guys potential, so you want him higher, when him being ranked this high in the 1st place was due to potential. In 161PA in rookie ball his wRC+ was 130, which is good but not special. He is still very young, but I see him having more risk than Hicks.
Singleton - Power, Patience, and size. Perhaps a bit optimistic, but I expect him to surprise people this season
Maztek - I understand he was working on stuff this season, trying to throw his change more, but for a "high velocity" lefty, hitting 88-92 on the gun, doesn't inspire too much. Still like the kid, just need to see more.
Perez - wRC+ 142, Ks the same as last year, walks are up. Still hasn't shown much, but .834OPS at age 19 is nothing to sneeze at.
Norris - wRC+ 141, Ks up, walks up, power down. I seem him as a solid major league C, but not an all star. He hit .235 in A+ as a 21 year old, with a BABIP of .296, so it was not all him being unlucky.
Arencibia - His ISO in AAA was .325, which is out of this world. He didn't really get consistent playing time in the bigs, but I see him as a big power, low average guy. Useful, (that's why he is ranked), but I think Perez can be more balanced.
Wimmers - Does he have the upside of some guys below him? No, but I see him having a high floor, and for me that justifies his rank. SMALL SAMPLE SIZE: 13.21 k/9, 2.87 BB/9 at A+
Stewart - Again, a low ceiling, but a higher floor. GB Tendencies with some Ks.
Profar - Tons up upside. his wRC+ of 103 at A- doesn't inspire too much confidence, but he should stick at SS, and he is only 17.
Beachy - Potential to contribute in 2011. Wont light the world on fire, but between 119ip in AA/AAA 11.2 K/9, 2.1 BB/9. Not my favorite, but the numbers are what they are.
Carter - Huge power, but I am not a fan of Carlos Pena, and nor I am a fan of his clone.
Cosart - Injury "The team is being cautious with Cosart. But the Phils were concerned enough by Cosart's injury to send him to renowned orthopedist James Andrews of Birmingham, Ala., in early July for an examination. Andrews did not recommend surgery."
Arenado - May not have the power, but I see him with Garrett Atkins like seasons. http://scoutingthesally.com/?p=2194
Kipnis - Doesn't have the upside or pedigree of Ackley, so I don't see a comp other than position. Hit well with .878OPS between A+/AA, but he will be 24 next season. Again, I see a low ceiling, higher floor. Last year only 1HR in 111AB in A+ also kinda scares me.
Vitek - Fast hands, and a wide range of opinions depending on who you talk to (as you said). I could go either way with him, but I know some who think highly of the kid, so that is why he is there.
Thank you for your comments, you definitely made me think. I would be interested in seeing you list if you wouldn't mind posting, just to generate some discussion. Its clear we are going to have major differences in opinion, but if everyone had the same ideas, there would be not point to making lists like this.