Bias: When predicting wins I like to go with pitchers who go deeper into games. You will see that in my reasoning
1) Mike Minor (ATL) @ FLA (Alex Sanabia) - Hands down, I like this matchup. It has everything that you would look for:
- Solid pitcher vs. weak, who may also have focus issues because of suspension
- Strong team playing for something vs. weak.
- Hot pitcher, who has worked deep into games, and has a strong bullpen behind him
2) Kyle Kendrick (PHI) vs. MIL (Randy Wolf) - Wolf is terrible and while Kendrick is no great shakes, PHI's offense seems to be coming around
3) Clayton Richard (SD) vs. COL (Jorge De La Rosa) - Love him at home, but worried that DLR might be too formidalbe a foe
4) Mark Buerhle (CHW) @ BOS (Josh Beckett) - Buerhle usually qualifies for the decision, but BOS is still a strong club
5) Vin Mazzaro (OAK) vs. LAA (Ervin Santana) - I actually like Mazzaro as he works deep into games, but the chance he gets no run support is too high
6) Armando Galarraga (DET) @ KC (Kyle Davies) - Meh. Pretty average chance, but nothing I'd want to bet on.
7) Jonathon Niese (NYM) @ CHC (Ryan Dempster) - I'd have Niese ranked much higher, but as a Mets fan I can tell you that he's looked pretty tired his last two times out.. it hasn't been pretty. The potential for a blowup is there.
8) Homer Bailey (CIN) @ StL (Chris Carpenter) - Hard to bet against Carp
The Rest) I wouldn't speculate on any of these guys since I'm not confident that they can go deep enough into a game for a win.
Jason Marquis (WAS) @ PIT (Charlie Morton)
Jeanmar Gomez (CLE) @ SEA (Felix Hernandez)