Bautista has been given regular at bats which he's clearly benefited from, however if you're in a keeper league there aren't too many out there who are better than McCutchen in terms of developing talent. I don't think Bautista will put up numbers quite as good but its not a fluke season for him, that being said I hold on to McCutchen in a keeper league make the swap if not.
Id do it. Being the Jays fan I am, I am admittedly SLIGHTLY biased, but Bautista is far from a fluke. This guy has been given a chance to play every day, and now has a chance to hit 50 home runs this year, and its not like hes an old guy...hes only 28! Dating back to last year, he has 10 morre home runs from September (when he started getting playing time) to now (The second place guy being Pujols). Keeper wise, he may not be a sure-fire 50 home run guy every year, but 30 home runs is easy to expect. Plus, he plays multiple positions which helps his value. AVG is his only downfall, but youll live with the .250 average Im sure. 30 jacks +, 100 RBI +, 100 R+ are some numbers you can expect
McCutchen has almost 1/3 the RBI, and homers of Bautista. He looks to be a guy that will top out at 20 jacks, maybe drive in 70, score a load of runs and swipe a ton of bases, while hitting around .300. Far from a poor player, but Id definately give him up for the big bat in Jose. Theres a very good chance you could be kicking yourself for not making this deal a year from now.
I'm a jays fan too, but I'd only do this if I was absolutely all in for this year, keepers be damned. And even then I'd have to pause... Long term mcutch is the better bet... Do you think you have a shot to make some real noize this year? Is bautista likely the guy to put you over the top?
What are the keeper terms? Do you just lose the first 8 rounds in your draft and everyone starts there, or do the keepers get slotted in based on where the players were initially drafted? How long do you get to keep each player?
If this is a long-term keeper, I'd have a hard time parting with McCutchen. If you're talking about a 2-3 year window, though, I'd be much more comfortable pulling the trigger to win this year.