Phillies - Marlins
Game is tied, top of 9, Phillies at bat. ZERO outs, runners on 1st and 3rd. Jayson Worth has just singled. The Phillies Win Expectancy is almost 80%.
Dom Brown grounds out to Gaby Sanchez who is playing on the bag. Raul Ibanez, for some reason, runs home on contact. He is promptly tagged out.
Phillies WE down to about 60%. Jayson Werth then decided to get picked off 2nd base, ostensibly because he was thinking about stealing 3rd base. See the following article for my exact thoughts on the situation. It almost directly mirrored the play that Dave Cameron wrote about yesterday in the Angels game.http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.ph ... -the-year/
But we're not done. Dom Brown, whom you might remember from earlier, decides to steal 2nd base. I don't have to tell you what happens.
The Phillies manage to drop their WE from about 80% to 25% with ONLY ONE BATTER MAKING AN OUT AT THE PLATE (and not even that really, a fielder's choice).
I'm eagerly awaiting Charlie Manuel blubbering about "making things happen" on the base paths and the other incomprehensible babbling that he is so good at.