Sure, his days of hitting 40 or even 50 hrs are probably behind him, he is after all 35 going on 36. But 30 a season is not out of reach for him. Heck I would not be surprised to see him have one final "great season", and he hits say 45 ... He won't catch Bonds though.
A-Rod has slowed since his hip injury (i blame madonna for the injury, thats one kinky chic) but he is still one of the best ever, even if New Yorkers hate him. Regardless of how you feel about A Rod though, he deserves respect for his game.
Black Ink Batting - 68, Average HOFer ≈ 27 Gray Ink Batting - 208, Average HOFer ≈ 144 Hall of Fame Monitor Batting - 349, Likely HOFer ≈ 100 Hall of Fame Standards Batting - 74, Average HOFer ≈ 50
five to go ... Sir Alex.
Anybody want to pick a date A-rod hits 600?
Fri, Jul 2 vs Toronto Sat, Jul 3 vs Toronto Sun, Jul 4 vs Toronto Mon, Jul 5 @ Oakland Tue, Jul 6 @ Oakland Wed, Jul 7 @ Oakland Thu, Jul 8 @ Seattle Fri, Jul 9 @ Seattle Sat, Jul 10 @ Seattle Sun, Jul 11 @ Seattle
Fri, Jul 16 vs Tampa Bay Sat, Jul 17 vs Tampa Bay Sun, Jul 18 vs Tampa Bay Tue, Jul 20 vs LA Angels Wed, Jul 21 vs LA Angels Thu, Jul 22 vs Kansas City Fri, Jul 23 vs Kansas City Sat, Jul 24 vs Kansas City Sun, Jul 25 vs Kansas City Mon, Jul 26 @ Cleveland Tue, Jul 27 @ Cleveland Wed, Jul 28 @ Cleveland Thu, Jul 29 @ Cleveland Fri, Jul 30 @ Tampa Bay Sat, Jul 31 @ Tampa Bay
* 10 years/$275M (2008-17) o re-signed by Yankees as a free agent 12/13/07 o $10M signing bonus ($2M paid upon approval, $1M paid each Jan. 15, 2009-2013, $3M paid Jan. 15, 2014) o 08:$27M, 09:$32M, 10:$32M, 11:$31M, 12:$29M, 13:$28M, 14:$25M, 15:$21M, 16:$20M, 17:$20M
.......so I'm assuming he's going to suit up in 2017 come hell or high water.
That leaves half of 2010 and 7 more seasons to get to Barry.
Half of this year = 15ish 7 x 25 HRs = 175 +595 = 785
If we assume his mega-HR days are past, and he gracefully declines over the next 7 years, he will make it with nearly a season to spare. However, he has to stay healthy for 6 or 7 consecutive seasons for this to happen. If he loses a total of a season or more he'll be struggling.
I don't trust his hip condition, so I say not quite, but it's very possible.
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I'm gonna say that he falls short. His hip is going to be the culprit. You can tell how badly it's bothering him right now. He is swinging with his upper body & getting zero explosion with his hips. I can't see this getting better for him.
It would be a travesty of the highest order to see someone who, by all accounts, is an egotistical jerk hold the all-time homeruns record. Especially someone who is an admitted steroid user. We don't need that kind of taint on the game and the record. Even if he catches Bonds, Selig should issue some kind of executive decree that prevents him from actually being listed in the official record book. Or at least bring back the asterisk.
Last edited by Art Vandelay on Fri Jul 02, 2010 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Art Vandelay wrote:It would be a travesty of the highest order to see someone who, by all accounts, is an egotistical jerk hold the all-time homeruns record.
Barry Bonds?
B-Chad wrote:Pedroia's LD rate of 20% is reason to believe he'll maintain a higher BA then Cano. It should also be noted he hits more FB's then Cano, which means that even if he posts a lower HR/FB then Cano, he should come in reasonably close to Cano in HR's
Alex Rodriguez is a lock for the HOF. Hey thanks for letting us know. That's just the type of knowledge I was looking for when I logged in today.
On a more serious note, yea it seems pretty likely he'll get past Bonds. My question would be, how can this be prevented? Or what unlikely circumstance would have occur to prevent this baseball player from the HR record.
B-Chad wrote:Pedroia's LD rate of 20% is reason to believe he'll maintain a higher BA then Cano. It should also be noted he hits more FB's then Cano, which means that even if he posts a lower HR/FB then Cano, he should come in reasonably close to Cano in HR's
I've said it before, but I just don't get the ARod hate unless you hate anything and everything to do with the Yankees. I have never seen anything he's done that makes me say I hate him as a player or a person. He always seems to bring his A game to the field and looks like he enjoys playing as well. He's had some bad playoff runs but that can happen to anybody. I hate the Yankees organization as much as the next guy but I like a lot of their players and ARod is definitely one of my favorites. If there's something he did off the field, I guess I don't know since I don't really pay attention to the tabloids. I know he seems like a team player and a guy who enjoys playing the game and his stats speak for themself. That's good enough for me.
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by wrveres » Fri Jul 02, 2010 4:26 am 
