is Matt Kemp the next Anruw Jones?

[cs3]

I was reading the thread about the best OF in baseball and i got to thinking a little about the Dodgers, and Matt Kemp specifically.
For some reason he intuitively reminds me of Andruw Jones - his talents are very similar to the combination of speed/power/defensive ability that Jones possessed in the first half of his career.
so i did a little research and found that aside from the fact that Kemp has so far hit for higher BA, their numbers through their first 4 full seasons are remarkably similar (Kemp form '07-Present and Jones from '97-'00).

can we expect Kemps career trajectory to follow that of Jones?
for example a dramatic decline in SB's as power develops;
or an early career peak in AVG followed by a 5-6 year plateau at a significantly lower level, and finally a sharp decline in AVG?
andruw jones

matt kemp


Thoughts?

[cs3]

[Neato Torpedo]

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?pl ... osition=OF

[AussieDodger]

Kemp is not as powerful, and his BB/K is much much worse.
So no, not even close.

[cs3]

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1109&position=OF

im not sure if youre serious or not, but even accounting for the fact that Kemp has one obvious disadvantage compared to bonds (balco anyone?), he will never be that caliber of player.
kemp wont ever garner the respect from opposing teams nor come close to the 5 year run bonds had from '00-'04. not even in the same universe

[Zito is God]

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1109&position=OF

im not sure if youre serious or not, but even accounting for the fact that Kemp has one obvious disadvantage compared to bonds (balco anyone?), he will never be that caliber of player.
kemp wont ever garner the respect from opposing teams nor come close to the 5 year run bonds had from '00-'04. not even in the same universe

It pains me everytime I hear Bonds' name mentioned that I had a chance to see him play a million times and didn't and he retired. Easily the best hitter of my lifetime, easily the most entertaining ABs I have ever witnessed. It is a disgrace to say that Kemp will EVER achieve anything close to what Bonds did. I hated him as a person, but boy was I a huge fan of Bonds the player, and yes, even with the roids.

[Neato Torpedo]

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1109&position=OF

im not sure if youre serious or not, but even accounting for the fact that Kemp has one obvious disadvantage compared to bonds (balco anyone?), he will never be that caliber of player.
kemp wont ever garner the respect from opposing teams nor come close to the 5 year run bonds had from '00-'04. not even in the same universe

Well Kemp has one advantage over Andruw in that he's not a fat lazy sack of crap.

Really, Andruw is a 1 in 100 exception in player that dive bomb into irrelevance, and such a radical change should never be expected of anyone. It's like saying "is Oliver Perez the next Randy Johnson?"

[AussieDodger]

It's like saying "is Oliver Perez the next Randy Johnson?"

Woah woah woah woah. That's like saying "Is StlSluggers the next Randy Johnson?"

[cs3]

Well Kemp has one advantage over Andruw in that he's not a fat lazy sack of crap.

Really, Andruw is a 1 in 100 exception in player that dive bomb into irrelevance, and such a radical change should never be expected of anyone. It's like saying "is Oliver Perez the next Randy Johnson?"

i wasnt necessarily implying that Kemp will "dive bomb into irrelevance"... andruw actually had 10 very good seasons for Atlanta before he fell off.
i was more asking how likely it is that Kemps career numbers follow Jones statisccal trends

[Pogotheostrich]

Well Kemp has one advantage over Andruw in that he's not a fat lazy sack of crap.

Watching him play CF this year I would disagree. Kemp has shown a huge lack of effort this year IMO and looks like he is going at half speed.