Why you should sell HIGH on Oswalt...right now!

[sweettortilla]

Was looking into picking up Oswalt in a trade and in my research I realized he's not a good buy. Here's why you should consider selling Oswalt...even IF he gets traded to a contender...

1) His BABIP is .257 - that is way low. That means he's getting really lucky on the balls that are being put into play. His career BABIP is .303 and he's been surprisingly consistent throughout his career - this is a glaring anomaly.

2) in 2010, his hits per 9 (H/9) is at an all time low: 6.9. Again, this is very inconsistent with his career numbers. His career H/9 is 8.7. What would his value be like if he regresses to his average and gives up two more hits per game? Could have a big impact.

3) He's striking out way more people in 2010 than he ever has (9 Ks per 9). You can probably guess where this is going. His career K/9 is 7.4.

Do I think he's a bad pitcher? No. I just think he's pitching a bit over his head right now, and the fact that he's up for a trade would make a possible buyer very interested in the perceived upside.

SELL, SELL, SELL!