bigh0rt wrote:dubstar wrote:J.C.Fighter wrote:BABIP doesn't always tell the whole story though...remember that
definitely, what are some other things to look at to get a good picture? Other than common stats?
For batters, I check for anomalies in things like their LD% (see: Carlos Lee) and GB% and FB%. HR/FB in the early going can also be indicative of whether or not early power surges are sustainable or due to come crashing down.
For pitchers, FIP and xFIP are helpful and more telling than ERA. Also strand rate (LOB%) can also indicate luck or lack thereof.
Carlos Lee is a great example to help me understand some things. I was thinking about trying to by low on him. his LD% is lower than other years, and his GB% is higher. Is that a sign of a regression? does it indicate that he will not have a good year power wise?