Lineups lock soon! Starter picks, WHIR x2!

[Frappy]

Hello cafe,

I'm in a H2H points league with weekly lineup locks that set in a couple of hours from now. I'm having a little trouble thinking over my final two pitching spots for the week. Here are my choices:

Kevin Slowley @TOR, VS. MIL
Edwin Jackson @FLA, VS. TOR
Jhoulys Chacin @CHI, @KC
John Ely VS. HOU, VS. DET

I can only pick two, with the latter two being FA pickups - hence I don't really have the space to pick up more than one of them.

Currently I have the top two slotted in, but I'm beginning to reconsider Jackson. My logic for starting him is that, despite his horrible start, all but two of his starts have been worth 6-8 points. With that as a double-start, he'd be worth one very solid start from a good pitcher. What gives him these numbers? The strikeout bias of my league's point system. One strikeout cancels out one earned run, and he's been picking up that K-rate. On top of that, Florida and Toronto are two of the leagues prolific whiff machines. At the same time, he has good matchup numbers against current Florida and Toronto hitters. A decent amount of Ks would make an E-Jax two start worthwhile.
Slowley was picked based upon the consideration that he hadn't had a negative point start this year. He's had very solid to great starts, and then he's had practically worthless starts. Toronto has murderous numbers against him, but Milwaukee doesn't - and Slowley has an awesome Home record.

Chacin has had a great start, marred by a recent beating VIA Washington. Chicago has struggled mightily, and KC is a mid-level offense (Plus I own Butler, so his damage is less painful). He's a good strikeout pitcher, but also inexperienced.
Ely is facing Houston.. at home. But then again, Detroit..


I'm leaning towards picking up Chacin over jackson

[Frappy]

I ended up dropping Jackson and picking up Chacin.

[fierro33]

u did the right thing.....chacin over jackson all day