thatguy27 wrote: He's currently King about 11/9IP. Last season he ked about 10.4/9IP. I think it's safe to assume this new rate is sustainable, and can be attributed to him improving some from last year to this year, given his age and career trajectory to date.
What do you all think are the odds that he Ks 300+?
There have been 18 seasons where a pitcher has struck out 11+/9ip: Randy Johnson (seven times); Pedro Martinez (three times); Nolan Ryan (twice); Kerry Wood (three times); Curt Schilling; Hideo Nomo;Dwight Gooden.
So so it is very possible that his strike out rate will fall some. Also, he would need to not miss many (if any starts). Also he would need to continue go deep into games (which he probably will). So while it is possible he will strikeout 300, I think the odds are against him. I say 20% maybe.
"I do not think baseball of today is any better than it was 30 years ago... I still think Radbourne is the greatest of the pitchers." John Sullivan 1914-Old athletes never change.