Dynasty Trade Offer, always WHIR

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I'm in a 20 team, 25 keeper head to head league. Categories are 6x6, standard 5x5 plus OPS and holds.

I was offered the following trade:

My:

Jeff Niemann
Brandon Wood

For:

Scott Baker

I've been trying to sell on Niemann because I think some of his stats show that he's been rather lucky so far. But, is Baker enough of an upgrade?

My roster:

C - Joe Mauer
1B - Pablo Sandoval
2B - Kelly Johnson
3B - Juan Uribe
SS - Yunel Escobar
OF - Nelson Cruz
OF - Josh Hamilton
OF - Jayson Werth
Util - Vlad Guerrero
Util - Jim Thome

Bench - Matt LaPorta, Brandon Wood, Mike Cameron, Felipe Lopez, Carlos Ruiz, Lars Anderson, Seth Smith, Chris Davis

SP - Jon Lester, Ricky Nolasco, Francisco Liriano, Jeremy Bonderman, Kevin Correia, Jeff Niemann, Jeremy Guthrie
RP - Jose Valverde, Heath Bell, Darren O'Day, Matt Capps, Mike Adams, Sergio Santos, Ryota Igarashi

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