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Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

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Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby Celtics31 » Wed May 12, 2010 10:30 pm

Hey couldn't find another thread about Upton so made this one.

What are your opinions on Upton? Is he going to come around and produce at least last years #s or should we expect an "off" year. I could likely get Votto straight up for Upton, don't know if I should take the deal (leaning closer by the day).
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby superjags99 » Wed May 12, 2010 11:09 pm

If you look at the numbers he is on pace for you see a 102r 23hr 74rbi 24sb line which is very close to what he got last year when he went 84r 26hr 86rbi 20sb while also hitting .300. So once Upton actually "starts" hitting this year he will be a very good fantasy option. I would definitely stick with him.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby Frappy » Wed May 12, 2010 11:13 pm

I made a thread about Upton here just yesterday I believe. Even so, it probably wouldn't of helped you much; That thread accumulated a lot of very surprised-looking animated .gifs.

But, one good point did come around then. With Upton currently hitting .225, he's pacing 100/25/75/25. That batting average is going to rise, and he's right in the middle of a rather productive offense. Justin started off slow last year before tearing May apart - a similar trend should be expected here. Justin Upton: .275 100/30/100/30 while possibly being conservative in the run-production categories.

Oh, and,

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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby The Mighty Trow » Thu May 13, 2010 9:14 am

Yup... expect his bat to warm up soon. Most of his peripherals are in line with his career. There are two differences i've noticed: 1) he's hitting the ball to the infield more than usual (especially with infield flies). 2) he's striking out more than usual. Shouldn't be anything a talent like J-Up can't solve.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby thedude » Thu May 13, 2010 11:24 am

Frappy wrote:I made a thread about Upton here just yesterday I believe. Even so, it probably wouldn't of helped you much; That thread accumulated a lot of very surprised-looking animated .gifs.



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That response was to the trade you pulled off. :-b
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby SpecialFNK » Thu May 13, 2010 11:49 am

i think Upton is a little overrated based on expectations.
im not sure i would put him down for 30+ HR, even though he last year he had 26 in 138 games.
last year he had 26 HR, but also 18.8 HR/FB(not high) and 35.7 FB%. hes going to need to hit more FB to be a big power hitter. this year he is at 15.6 HR/FB and 36.8 FB%.
i think he should get in the upper 20's for HR but i wouldnt expect more than 30.
as for the AVG. i wouldnt expect a repeat of .300 AVG. last year he had .360 BABIP. thats high. this year with his .224 AVG he has .302 BABIP. so he is not having alot of bad luck leading to the low AVG.
he should be better than he currently is, and also better than the .250 AVG he had in 2008 ..but i dont see a .300 AVG. maybe .270/.280 type, which is still good with his other numbers.

as for Votto. i think id rather have Upton, but its close. with Upton getting more SB i would like him more.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby thatguy27 » Thu May 13, 2010 4:24 pm

Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2010 TB 33 119 22 26 7 0 4 18 14 36 8 3 .218 .301 .378 .679

Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2010 ARI 35 134 22 30 6 0 5 16 15 47 5 2 .224 .311 .381 .692

Check out the similarities in B.J.'s (top) and Justin's (bottom) numbers to date. Kind of crazy.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby Surfs up » Sun May 16, 2010 10:57 am

thatguy27 wrote:Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2010 TB 33 119 22 26 7 0 4 18 14 36 8 3 .218 .301 .378 .679

Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2010 ARI 35 134 22 30 6 0 5 16 15 47 5 2 .224 .311 .381 .692

Check out the similarities in B.J.'s (top) and Justin's (bottom) numbers to date. Kind of crazy.



Ah the brothers Upton. The stats are very close. I'm actually surprised Justin has struck out 11 more times than BJ in only 2 games. I would thought it was the other way around.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby rich101682 » Sun May 16, 2010 12:22 pm

Seems like Justin's starting to heat up a bit more this week. Could be the start of a tear.
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Re: Justin Upton, coming around or overrated?

Postby HighHeater » Sun May 16, 2010 1:24 pm

can people relax on Justin Upton... it gets annoying seeing threads the past few years thinking he's magically going to be a HoF right out of the minor's. He put up a crazy stat line at the tender age of 22 in the bigs people. 22.... it's not like in his struggles thus far he hasn't produced the kid's hitting for power and stealing bases at a .250 clip. it's not even 1/4th the season done yet...

there's not one OF i'd rather own then JUp is any dynasty/keeper format. trade him if you want but you will regret it.
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