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Postby ukjohn » Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:49 am

This year: Ensberg
Every year after next: Cabrera
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Postby Homebrewer » Wed Mar 24, 2004 12:23 pm

Cabrera. Huge upside and dual eligibility at 3B/OF, should you land another serviceable 3B later.
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Postby MashinSpuds » Wed Mar 24, 2004 12:46 pm

stomperrob wrote:I'd go with Cabrera, way more upside plus Ensberg may still be sharing his at bats with Blum at times.


Blum is in Tampa Bay now, so no sharing this year. Cabrera looks to be the fun pick, but I would go with Ensberg as slightly more of sure thing.
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Postby ferris182 » Wed Mar 24, 2004 1:01 pm

Miggy has a bigger upside, but you should be fine w/ either of them.
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Postby bucsfan04 » Wed Mar 24, 2004 1:11 pm

If you are in a keeper league, then take cabrera, but I think ensberg will have better stats this year.
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Postby LionsandTigersOhMy » Wed Mar 24, 2004 2:13 pm

How is Ensberg a sure thing?answer..............he is'nt

Cabrera is just as much a sure thing as him!

I would go with Cabrera.
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alright.

Postby matmat » Wed Mar 24, 2004 2:48 pm

I replied to this earlier, time to rethink a bit.

Crunch ensberg's numbers and crunch cabrera's. Also, let's assume that they will repeat their rates from last year and here is what we come up with after a tiny bit of math:

Ensberg
R = 90
HR = 32
RBI = 78
SB = 9
AVG = 0.288
OBP =~ 0.366
SLG =~ 0.522

Cabrera
R = 62
HR = 19
RBI = 99
AVG =0.266
OBP =~ 0.320
SLG =~ 0.454

Here, of course, are the caveats
i) People very rarely repeat their numbers from last year
ii) there is no way of telling how ensber will react to regular playing time
iii) there is no way of telling how cabrera will react to his first full season (sophomore slump? who knows...) he looked damn good in the playoffs
iv) ensberg's lineup hasn't changed
v) cabrera's lineup is missing a damn good hitter from last year -- this could work both ways -- he may step up and become a better hitter OR just plain have fewer guys to hit in.

In a keeper league I would want Cabrera most likely... just for this year I, personally, would take Ensberg, but I think their chances of success are about even... I like ensberg's home park more and the fact that all the pressure will not be on him.
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Postby bsdo4ever » Wed Mar 24, 2004 2:52 pm

Ensberg is in a loaded lineup, RBI's galore will be coming his way hopefully. As for Cabrera, he can't do everything himself and he wont be asked to but I just think Ensberg has more opportunity.
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