Skin Blues wrote:Not for this season. By the looks of things he's barely ready for AA, let alone the majors. It's not like there's a real blockage in the rotation preventing him from being called up, but even if he was, I don't think I'd want him on my fantasy team.
He shouldn't have much value for redraft this season, but barely ready for AA? 22 innings in and he is sporting a 2.01 ERA and 1.12 WHIP and a K rate around 8 per 9. There is an outside chance he gets a late callup this season, but more likely he gets the late call next season and is in full time in 2012.
Yeah he's doing OK in AA, but even if he had those numbers in AAA we wouldn't be talking about a call-up any time soon. A K rate of 7.7 in AA isn't all that impressive, especially when accompanied by a 3.6 BB rate.
As for Bumgarner, it's good that his velocity is up, but he still has to show that he can keep up this level for more than three games. At this point in time I'd prefer the guys who are proving themselves in AAA as opposed to the more speculative plays. We're talking about MLB success in 2010 here. In his last game, against Nashville, he faced 32 hitters and managed only 4 Ks. He's not missing enough bats. I can't actually watch him play all of these games, so for all I know he could be ready and just had an unlucky day. But if I'm betting on success, I'll bet on those that are already having success in addition to the expectations. Which brings me to...
Daniel Hudson. Destroyed AA as a 22 year old. Was pretty good when promoted to AAA as well with a K per inning and K/BB of about 2.67. Wasn't so hot in his september call-up, but he's clearly improved his game since then. This season in AAA he's progressed even more with a K/BB of 4.21 while striking out 11 per 9. I don't know how well that will translate to the majors, but I like him for this season more than anybody other than Strasburg and Hellickson.