pnoozi wrote:The way I see it, if you're not confident about starting Liriano against certain teams, he's not reliable enough to be on a fantasy team. Reality is that any team can have a breakout day on offense. If you worry about your starting pitchers too much you'll end up missing out on quality starts and lots of strikeouts.
I'm going to emphatically dis
agree with this. Completely incorrect in my mind. H2H it may be worth the gamble, but in roto you absolutely cannot afford to be starting questionable pitchers in games where there is a good chance they're going to be shelled. There's more than enough innings out there for your pitchers to use them only in break-even or advantageous situations. No reason to go looking for trouble, starting guys against the Yankees/Tampa, in Texas, etc.
Spot-starting guys is an absolutely
valid tactic for most
pitchers in the league. Pitchers outside of the top-two in each rotation will have predictable
results in the long-term when started against lineups of different strengths.
Unless you're in a league where there's a HUGE inning cap, and the disadvantage in ratios can be offset by advantages in counting stats, you should
be spot-starting most
of your pitchers. If you're in a league with a 1200 IP-max, for instance, and assuming you're going to get 250IP out of you bullpen* and 450 out of your two ace "everyday" starters, I'd much
rather get those remaining 500 IP out of four (or even five) spot-starters in good matchups than just take whatever you get out of three mid- to bottom-tier starters who are going to get shelled in a few of their games.
*-actually, I like to get more like 400 IP out of my pen, but that's a different strategy, depending on league settings.
I definitely benched Liriano today against Boston, in my H2H league no less, and I'm not regretting it. Boston has perennially bashed his head in (13.50 career ERA against BOS, according to ESPN's Daily Notes
, and a scary 2 ranking). Maybe Boston's offense is cooling down quite a bit from a few years ago, and I won't be sitting guys as much against them this year, but for now I'll spot-start guys like this every week when they run into top-five offenses or pitch in very unfriendly parks.