ayebatter wrote:Then factor in that Gonzo is GONE at some point this year.....
I wouldn't count those chickens before they've hatched. First, Gonzalez has made some noise about staying in SD, and expressed his willingness to take deferred money from the Padres. Second, the Padres have to know that they'll get better trade value for Gonzo after this season. Right now, the Sox have the 1B and 3B spots locked up (this is assuming the Sox are the most likely destination). They're not going to give up the farm to then have to either play Gonzalez at DH or to bench Beltre. However, suppose the Red Sox experiment in "defense first" blows up in their faces this year, they miss the playoffs, NYY does well, etc. You think they won't trade off some big prospects for Gonzo in the offseason? I think that's much more likely, IMO. Add to that the fact that they'll have Ortiz, Beltre, and Lowell all with expiring contracts, which would leave the door open for them to sign Gonzalez to a nice extension.
If the Red Sox are still the most likely destination (as most seem to agree they are), then I don't think it's an automatic that Gonzo is traded this summer. I think the winter is much more likely.