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Arbritration Clock

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Arbritration Clock

Postby BEN2074X » Tue Apr 13, 2010 10:48 am

Seems to be commonly expected that early July is late enough in the season for teams to push off the arbritration clock. Does anyone have any solid figure's to back this expectation up? I for one don't know what is used to figure out such things. Is it inning's pitched for a pitcher or AB's for a hitter?
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Re: Arbritration Clock

Postby Matthias » Tue Apr 13, 2010 10:55 am

I'm pretty sure that what you're talking about is 3 years of arbitration versus 2. The rule that applies is the "Super 2" rule which goes along the lines of players who have accumulated service time in the top third of people in their class have that year counted as a full year of service for arbitration purposes so only have to go through arbitration for 2 years before free agency. It's not about IPs or ABs; it's about days on the roster. But it's not an exact science since it depends upon the number of players in that year's class and at what point other teams choose to start them.
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Re: Arbritration Clock

Postby Syfo-Dyas » Tue Apr 13, 2010 11:43 am

Arbitration clock starts when player is called up to the Major League team for the first time.
Arbitration eligibility begins with the conclusion of a player's 3rd season in the major leagues.
A full year of service entails 172 days on the active roster.
Exception is The Super Two Rule:
Super Twos come from the group of players who have between two and three years service time and at least 86 days service time the previous year. The top 17% of those players will become Super Twos.

The average Super Two has had two years and 148 days of service time the last two years.
Now teams are trying to figure out the date, when is safe to call up their superstar, to avoid the top 17%, so they can delay arbitration for a year, that saves them millions. In Strasburg's case this could save Washington about $8 million.
Now they figure that the cut off date is May 20, but they play it safe so this means late May early June.
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Re: Arbritration Clock

Postby thedude » Tue Apr 13, 2010 12:49 pm

Syfo-Dyas wrote:Arbitration clock starts when player is called up to the Major League team for the first time.
Arbitration eligibility begins with the conclusion of a player's 3rd season in the major leagues.
A full year of service entails 172 days on the active roster.
Exception is The Super Two Rule:
Super Twos come from the group of players who have between two and three years service time and at least 86 days service time the previous year. The top 17% of those players will become Super Twos.

The average Super Two has had two years and 148 days of service time the last two years.
Now teams are trying to figure out the date, when is safe to call up their superstar, to avoid the top 17%, so they can delay arbitration for a year, that saves them millions. In Strasburg's case this could save Washington about $8 million.
Now they figure that the cut off date is May 20, but they play it safe so this means late May early June.


I am thinking mid-June. When the difference of one or two starts is millions of dollars, the Nationals will play it safe and keep him in the minors. Besides, he could use a little seasoning.
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