HR contest advice needed

[kingmike74]

So me and my buddies play a HR contest each year, we each chip in $50 and winner takes all.

We have 4 tier choices and we choose one per tier, then 3 wildcards. Below are the tiers


Set 1 Pujois-Fielder-Howard-Reynolds
Set 2 Gonzalez-Pena-Teixeira-Dunn-Bay-A.Hill-Werth
Set 3 Lee-Lind-Cabrera-Ibanez-Morales-Cruz-Longoria-Zimmerman
Set 4 Braun-Cuddyer-Tulowitzki-Branyan-Ethier-Kinsler-Uggla-Utley


I need 3 wildcards (Not listed above), these are usually the guys that win you the $$.


I am thinking...

Alex Rodriguez
Jay Bruce
Curtis Granderson

Any thoughts? I was thnking Blanks but who knows. This contest is won by playing it kinda safe, and having guys stay healthy.

[markj11]

Holliday
Ian Stewart
Morneau
JUp

[D-backsFan]

A Rod
Upton
Morneau

[markj11]

A Rod
Upton
Morneau

I just reread the post, these are the 1st 3 I would pick.

[AquaMan2342]

Strictly homers? I think you switch Bruce to Upton and keep A-Rod and Granderson.

[bigken117]

Bruce > Upton for strictly HR

[kingmike74]

Thanks guys.

Yeh, I thought about Upton but I still think Bruce hits mroe, maybe only a couple, but more for sure.

Arod is a given but I think Granderson hits at least 5 more than Morneau.

Steart was a thought but still a risk, I think his ceiling is 35 or so this year and that his with a ton of AB's.


So I go with the good and safe picks of Arod, Granderson and Bruce.

Thanks again.

[AquaMan2342]

Bruce > Upton for strictly HR

Maybe, Upton seems like the safer play though IMO. Everyone is just assuming Bruce is going to blow up this year.

[Captain Furtah]

howard, teix, lind, braun, arod, bruce and upton

I love Grandy at that park, but I think he will bat much lower in the lineup and maybe even sit against lefties this year. too much risk IMO

sounds like a fun competition!

[kingmike74]

Teix over Dunn? Dunn is the surest 40 HR guy I have ever seen.

I am taking the following, LMK what you think.

Howard
Dunn
Miggy (I like Lind but I think Cabreara has a couple more)
Braun

Grandy
Arod

I will flip a coin on Upton and Bruce.


BTW, this contest does not start until April 16, that is when the HR count for me.