I love all these high projections followed up with "if healthy." This is Rickie Weeks we are talking about, he won't be healthy all year long. I see him as a trade semi high and get him off your team type of player.
10 team,H2H,5x5 C-Montero 1B-A.Gonzalez 2B-Utley 3B-Longoria SS-Reyes 1B/3B-Morneau 2b/SS-K.Jonhson OF-J.Upton,CarGo,Pierre UTL-Rasmus P-Hamels,Nolasco,W.Rodriguez,Garza,Wagner,Aardsma BN-Span,Slowey,Liriano,E.Santana,Gregg, Pelfrey, Street DL-B. Anderson
Dan Lambskin wrote:my guess is Weeks is going to pull one big jerk move on everyone by getting hurt in his first game during the final week of the season
Easily could be. Results are a terrible way to decide if someone had a good opinion or not. I'll catch a lot of flak for that but it is the simple truth when it comes to any game with a lot of randomness in it. Treat fantasy baseball like poker and you'll understand how to win on a regular basis long term and while I love Rickie Weeks he was -EV to start the season.
Dan Lambskin wrote:my guess is Weeks is going to pull one big jerk move on everyone by getting hurt in his first game during the final week of the season
Easily could be. Results are a terrible way to decide if someone had a good opinion or not. I'll catch a lot of flak for that but it is the simple truth when it comes to any game with a lot of randomness in it. Treat fantasy baseball like poker and you'll understand how to win on a regular basis long term and while I love Rickie Weeks he was -EV to start the season.
Every other year before this I'd agree with you, but his value was just right on draft day this year. There was very little risk drafting him considering the other options and his ADP was the perfect spot to take a high risk/high reward player. If he went out for the season on day 1 it wouldn't have killed anybody's chances who drafted him.
Dan Lambskin wrote:my guess is Weeks is going to pull one big jerk move on everyone by getting hurt in his first game during the final week of the season
Easily could be. Results are a terrible way to decide if someone had a good opinion or not. I'll catch a lot of flak for that but it is the simple truth when it comes to any game with a lot of randomness in it. Treat fantasy baseball like poker and you'll understand how to win on a regular basis long term and while I love Rickie Weeks he was -EV to start the season.
Every other year before this I'd agree with you, but his value was just right on draft day this year. There was very little risk drafting him considering the other options and his ADP was the perfect spot to take a high risk/high reward player. If he went out for the season on day 1 it wouldn't have killed anybody's chances who drafted him.
Fair enough if you get them cheap enough anyone is going to be +EV. It was more of a general opinion, you can't say you were right or wrong about a player based on results of one season.
Easily could be. Results are a terrible way to decide if someone had a good opinion or not. I'll catch a lot of flak for that but it is the simple truth when it comes to any game with a lot of randomness in it. Treat fantasy baseball like poker and you'll understand how to win on a regular basis long term and while I love Rickie Weeks he was -EV to start the season.
Every other year before this I'd agree with you, but his value was just right on draft day this year. There was very little risk drafting him considering the other options and his ADP was the perfect spot to take a high risk/high reward player. If he went out for the season on day 1 it wouldn't have killed anybody's chances who drafted him.
Fair enough if you get them cheap enough anyone is going to be +EV. It was more of a general opinion, you can't say you were right or wrong about a player based on results of one season.
You see, this is just the type of Jerk that rickie is. He know that if he got hurt or stunk up the joint from day 1 it really wouldn't have hurt anyones fantasy baseball team. He is just going to wait until he is fully entrenched in the second base spot on a bunch of good fantasy teams and then he will wait until just around playoff time to get hurt or maybe go 0 for the playoffs. he wants to make sure that you have no other good options at 2nd before he jerks you around.