First Base -Auction Strategy Who is Overvalued / Undervalued

[Moss84]

12 team H2h Mixed League
$1000 cap and draft 24 players
Scoring: Hitters - 1 pt per Hit, run, rbi, sb, bb, hbp. 2B= 2 pts, 3B=3pts, HR=4 pts

Most of the top 10 have been kept -- only Prince Fielder ($100 in 2009 - was a keeper) and Adrian Gonzalez ($130) will be up for auction.

Next best options will be Adam Dunn ($120), Berkman ($195), Derek Lee ($100).

Is it best to target one of these 5 or save money and target cheaper 1B and spend the money at more shallow positions ?

Any suggestions on FIRST BASEMAN that are OVERVALUED or Undervalued (could be top 10) heading into 2010 ?

[Moss84]

Any insights ? -- my auction draft is tomorrow - I'll answer yours.

I'm thinking Berkman and D Lee might go for more than they are worth based on name recognition and might be better off saving money and buying into some younger upside players.

[bazzy_51]

Over...

Berkman - hurts me to say because I'm expecting a big bounce back year, but if hes anywhere in the neighborhood of 160-190 I think thats a little over
Reynolds - Would love to see back-to-back of what he did last year before I pay top dollar for him
Sandoval - I really think his .320+ BA is going to be hard to do again this year, and 21-13 HR is a max I believe, 25 was a ceiling.
Billy Butler - Everyone has been waiting for him to breakout, and paying for it year after year, I don't see this year as any different seeing him go ahead of guys like Dunn, Pena, DLee, Morales, Berkman

Under...

Votto - He probably has been going right around top 10 1B which in my opinion is too low. I really see Votto as a top 5 1B as early as this year. I see 100/30/110/.300+ average.
Michael Cuddyer - I really think he is undervalued year after year, guy is solid I mean hit 32 dingers last year, thats more then Youk or Morneau or Panda who have all gone above him. I see 95/30/100/.280
Jorge Cantu - Always solid, if he can stay healthy. Has the power and a solid lineup in Florida.
Paul Konerko - Can you say dependable? Bounced back last year with 28/88/.275+, since 2004 hes average 32 HR a year (including 2008s dismal performance). This is a guy you can look to for 30HR and a .275ave

Oh yeah and I'm gonna say it - CHRIS DAVIS - Guy can flat out mash. If he can bring his contact rate up a big he will be in the talks for top 10 easily. A lot of people have thought his potential came crashing down to earth after last years BIG hype and then fall out of the sky, I on the other hand have not. Now will I reach for him like I did last year? Heck no. But you can low ball him this year cuz everyone is scared of him. A line of 80/25/80 I don't think is out of the question, with very good potential of 95/35/105.