If I was to take a risk pick with my last draft spot in my minor league draft, which player of these 5 would you guys say is my best shot of getting an IMPACT player:
Jameson Taillon (2010 draft) Anthony Renden (2011 draft) Taylor Jungmann (2011 draft) Drew Pomeranz (2010 draft) Austin Wilson (2010 draft)
I've got plenty of time to wait for these prospects as I won my Dynasty League last year. I've got 4 guys on my minor league roster that will be impacting the Majors within' a year or two... and here is my roster:
c - Wieters 1b - Fielder 2b - Phillips 3b - Zimmerman ss - Ramirez if - Gonzalez, A lf - Crawford cf - Young, C rf - Upton, J of - Ethier util - Morales util - Blanks bn - Gomez, C bn - Bautista, J bn - Saunders, M sp - Johnson, J sp - Kershaw sp - Hamels sp - Shields sp - Kazmir sp - Bailey, H rp - Marmol rp - Street rp - Francisco, F rp - Gregerson sp/rp - Liriano dl - Volquez
minor - Chris Carter (oak) minor - Freddie Freeman (atl) minor - Jeremy Hellickson (tb) minor - Daniel Hudson (chw)
Here is what BA's Jim Callis recently said (free content)...
The 2011 draft is easily the strongest of the three. The 2010 crop is short on position players, while none of the 2012 prospects has scouts raving yet. I'm wary of the high schoolers from future years, because often the top-ranked sophomores and juniors don't turn out to be the most coveted members of their senior class when their draft rolls around.
With all that in mind, here's the 2010-12 Top 10, which consists of five players each from 2010 and 2011. Separating the pitchers fourth through eighth on my list was almost as difficult as it would be to hit them.
1. Bryce Harper, c, CC of Southern Nevada (2010) Massive power and the chance to play a premium position.
2. Anthony Rendon, 3b, Rice (2011) At worst, he'd be the second pick this June if he were eligible.
3. Gerrit Cole, rhp, UCLA (2011) Has dramatically improved his command of college baseball's best pure stuff.
4. Taylor Jungmann, rhp, Texas (2011) Leads NCAA Division I with 51 strikeouts in 36 innings, including 17 K's vs. Iowa.
5. Jameson Taillon, rhp, The Woodlands (Texas) HS (2010) His stuff is comparable to Cole's, though he has been inconsistent recently.
6. Drew Pomeranz, lhp, Mississippi (2010) Low-90s fastball and nasty curve have made him as dominant as any pitcher this spring.
7. Matt Purke, lhp, Texas Christian (2011) The 14th overall pick in 2010 by the Rangers, he'll be a sophomore-eligible next year.
8. Deck McGuire, rhp, Georgia Tech (2010) Flashes three potential out pitches, and hitters never seem to square him up.
9. Daniel Norris, lhp, Science Hill HS, Johnson City, Tenn. (2011) Similar to Pomeranz with his velocity, curve and Tennessee roots.
10. Anthony Ranaudo, rhp, Lousiana State (2010) Ranked right behind Harper for 2010 before missing last four starts with elbow issues.
Are Bryce Harper, Gerit Cole & Matt Purke taken? I'd take those 3 over anybody on your list. From your list I'd take Tailon.
One thing to keep in mind about undrafted players is not only do they take longer to hit the majors, if you're able to take your pick of the liter on these guys, it's very likely it will take longer for them to have any trade value. For example, A guy like Bobby Borchering or Jake Odorizzi could dominate in their full season debuts. There names will be thrown around in various hot prospect articles and some of your league mates will take notice. If they show up on mid or post season top 100 lists, there value will sky rocket and you have a great trade chip.
Instead, you take a guy like Rendon, it's possible some people in your league realize he's a top 5 pick in 2011, but many won't and others will dismiss him as being a long way away. He has a big 2010 and nothing changes. He has a big 2011 starts getting projected as the #1 pick and his trade value may go up a little. Even once he's drafted, he likely doesn't sign until August and may not take the field in 2011. Some people won't want to trade for him because he's unsigned or has no professional stats. This timeline can get even longer if you take a guy like Tailon and he ends up going to college.
I also only see 1 guy on your minor league roster who will have fantasy impact in the next 2 years. There just aren't many prospects league wide you can say that about. Hellickson is pretty well blocked by the TB rotation. Freeman has questions on his power. Hudson needs to prove his marginal stuff will work in the majors.