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Am I ranking these guys too low?

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Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby jsphlly » Mon Mar 08, 2010 9:49 pm

Here's my projections on a couple question mark guys, what do you think?

Sizemore: 95-25-65-25-.270
Upton: 85-15-70-35-.265
Soriano: 70-24-75-8-.280
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby fcnick » Mon Mar 08, 2010 9:58 pm

No way sizemore doesn't crack 30 sbs...plus I imagine he will have at least 80 RBI
I assume you're talking about BJ Upton... I believe that he could easily post better numbers than that, but that is a pretty safe projection.
Assuming that Soriano DOES NOT get hurt (last 3 years he's played 135, 109 and 117) he will easily top those projections. 280 seems a little bit high for his average, I'd say a full healthy season he may produce something around 95-30-90-18-260. Again, him having a full, healthy season is unfortunately not likely.
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby West » Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:20 pm

fcnick wrote:No way sizemore doesn't crack 30 sbs...plus I imagine he will have at least 80 RBI
I assume you're talking about BJ Upton... I believe that he could easily post better numbers than that, but that is a pretty safe projection.
Assuming that Soriano DOES NOT get hurt (last 3 years he's played 135, 109 and 117) he will easily top those projections. 280 seems a little bit high for his average, I'd say a full healthy season he may produce something around 95-30-90-18-260. Again, him having a full, healthy season is unfortunately not likely.


I disagree with some of this. Even in a healthy season I don't see Soriano stealing more than 10. I don't see Sizemore stealing more than 30 either. I think JSphlly's projections are pretty close to what you'd expect. Especially considering the three players' respective injury histories.
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby Crippler » Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:29 pm

Soriano won't steal more than 10 or so, and probably wont play more than 2/3 of the season.
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby jackie hayes » Tue Mar 09, 2010 1:24 am

I think they look reasonable. I think Sizemore's rbi/r balance will be a little more balanced, though (hitting out of the second spot).
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby Pogotheostrich » Tue Mar 09, 2010 11:19 am

Sizemore: 95-25-65-25-.270
This seems pretty safe to me except I expect 20 or more RBI than you do.

Upton: 85-15-70-35-.265
Seem about right to me. Maybe a few more SB. Either way Upton still has a chance to bust out IMO.

Soriano: 70-24-75-8-.280
You are much more optimistic than me here. Even if Soriano is healthy the .280 BA seems high and his R and RBI are going to suffer from moving down in the lineup.
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby jsphlly » Tue Mar 09, 2010 12:40 pm

Thanks for the responses.

I'd concur to boost the RBI total a bit for Sizemore if he is to bat 2nd. My projection was based on the projected lineups from cbssportsline.com where is still listed as leadoff.

Taking another look at Upton's minor league stats, I'm gonna boost his average up a touch.

I think I'll leave Soriano where he is as there's not much risk involved there (Those stats rank him below Kubel, F-Gut, McClouth, etc for me)
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby jackie hayes » Tue Mar 09, 2010 12:57 pm

Yeah, with Soriano, his knees simply won't allow him to do what he used to. Fully healthy now ain't what fully healthy used to be, for him. I'd knock his average down a smidge -- nothing close to last year's .240, but his career average is below .280. But it's not way off, and the homers and steals are reasonable.
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Re: Am I ranking these guys too low?

Postby Scooter1027 » Tue Mar 09, 2010 1:23 pm

I don't think they're that far off. I have Sizemore with almost the same line, but with 85 RBI or so. Your Upton projection matches mine but I have him down for 41 SB. And everything but the average looks good on Soriano's line.
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