2010 MLB Over/Under Wins

[BronXBombers51]

I'm not a sports-better but my buddy is and he's asked me to help him pick a few teams out this year. I gave him the Dodgers to win the NL West last year and he won a nice sum of cash. This year I'm looking at over/under win totals for the season and the lines were just released.

Code: Select all

ARI     85.5
ATL     82.5
BAL     70.5
BOS     94.5
CHC
CHW     82.5
CIN     79.5
CLE     83.5
COL     80
DET     80.5
FLA     79.5
HOU     76.5
KAN     74.5
LAA     87.5
LAD     84.5
MIL     81
MIN     85.5
NYM     89
NYY     96.5
OAK     81.5
PHI     89.5
PIT     68.5
SDP     68.5
SFG     79.5
SEA     79.5
STL     84
TAM     87.5
TEX     77.5
TOR     78.5
WAS     65.5

Just looking things over briefly, I like Seattle over 79.5, Toronto under 78.5 and the Mets under 89. Seattle won 85 last year. I know their pythag had them at 75 wins, but Cliff Lee was worth 5 wins by himself last year and that doesn't factor in Figgins/Bradley and the fact that the Angels are weaker this year as well. Toronto won only 75 last year and now they have no Halladay. And the Mets are better than their 70 wins last year, but 89 seems like a stretch to me.

What say you?

[Brandaddy]

I would love to see the D'Backs win 85 games but a lot of things would have to go right for them for that too happen. I would go under on the 85.5

[Maris09]

Damn DBack were one of the teams I was waiting to see what the number was. That seems much too high to bet.

I've had pretty good success in the past on Season Over/Unders by taking teams in the mid to high 70's to go over.
Even if teams aren't in a pennant chase they will be shooting to finish at or above .500
Those last few weeks are what makes or breaks these bets.


So far I like:

Atl 82.5 (Bobby Cox's last year, I'm thinking they go get him something at the deadline)
Col 80 (That seems real low)
Minn looks good. They should have a monster year.
Padres 68.5 (This was a team I was hoping would have a real low number. I think they can win 70-75)
Giants still at 79.5 is weird. Lineup is better and bullpen is better.
Seattle at 79.5 ? These don't seem right. What site are they from?
Texas is a team I think could have an outside shot at 85 wins.


What site are these from?

[AussieDodger]

Stand outs:

Cleveland 83.5 - WTF, they haven't got any legit big league SPs yet. Way way under <-- Best under
Colorado 80 - Over, they are for reals IMO. <---- Best over


Baltimore 70.5 - I can see them winning 70-75
NYM 89! - Zomg will they even get to .500?
Seattle 79.5 - I think Seattle will be in the 80s again.

[MasterX1918]

I guess the Cubs are sitting this year out? Probably a good decision.

[Pogotheostrich]

CLE 83.5 - Under
COL 80 - Over
NYM 89 - Under
TEX 77.5 - Over

[buffalobillsrul2002]

Piggybacking, but I'd take the Mets and Cleveland under, the Mariners and Rangers over

New ones: WAS over 65.5. Their pythag was 66-96 last year, they got a couple of SP that could be OK, and they actually have a few decent ballplayers on that team.

KC under 74.5 Last year their pythag was also 66-96. I don't see where they picked up 8 games this offseason. Yes, they have a couple decent prospects. Yes, they got rid of Mike Jacobs. Yes, they have Zach Greinke. But that's not a joke division, I think 70 wins is more likely....

[Padsin05]

Cleve under 83 EZ, who is even in their starting rotation?

SD over 68.5, they always are competetive, and have added a couple good pieces to go with some youth that was 37-25 after the break last 2 months

[AussieDodger]

SD over 68.5, they always are competetive, and have added a couple good pieces to go with some youth that was 37-25 after the break last 2 months

Kyle Blanks is worth 20 wins by himself, amirite?

[GiantExpectations]

Are you sure these aren't the over/under's for last year?, because some of these lines seems like the betting site is just asking to lose money. For example, AZ winning 85 last year would have been a decent line, considered we didn't know Webb was going to pitch only 4 innings last year.