Just thought I'd put this out there.........
Atlanta's SB Rank In MLB:
2005: 11th with 92, but Furcal had half of them with 46.
McLouth running less/same/more this year? Place your vote
He stole 12 in 339 AB with the Braves in '09, which projects out to 22-ish for the season, which is right on pace with '07 and '08.
And I've always believed this particular method of predicting SB to be very misleading and inaccurate. I mean, how many full-time speedsters have the Braves had since Furcal left? Renteria? Stopped swiping bags two years before he arrived at Atlanta. Willie Harris, Gregor Blanco, Josh Anderson? Rightfully not starting full-time. Team steals is 95% related to how often speedsters reach base and 5% variation in dugout strategy.
Also, if you're looking for a case study, Matt Diaz swiped 12 in 371 AB in '09. That was a better pace than he had at any point in his 11-year professional career except at AA Orlando in 2002 and just slightly behind his 75 game minors stint in 2005.