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Aaron Hill

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Aaron Hill

Postby irish158 » Sat Feb 06, 2010 8:16 pm

I am concerned about Aaron Hill's season last year. Here me out. He is well into his MLB career and he all of a sudden hits 36HR 100+R 100+RBI. In his previous 1720AB's he hit 28HRs. Now 36!!! I am more than a bit skeptical that this continues. I am also wondering why the jump. And yes I am thinking HGH!!! Not my fault I think this way it is the MLB's problem.

So what do you think is a projection line for Hill this year?

My proj. for 2010
.284 80 22 80 6
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby tiggis » Tue Feb 09, 2010 1:15 pm

irish158 wrote:I am concerned about Aaron Hill's season last year. Here me out. He is well into his MLB career and he all of a sudden hits 36HR 100+R 100+RBI. In his previous 1720AB's he hit 28HRs. Now 36!!! I am more than a bit skeptical that this continues. I am also wondering why the jump. And yes I am thinking HGH!!! Not my fault I think this way it is the MLB's problem.

So what do you think is a projection line for Hill this year?

My proj. for 2010
.284 80 22 80 6



I being the only person on this planet who predicted this breakout I feel qualified to answer! :)

Hills power is real and was making a nice natural progression until his concussion in 2008.
HR
2007- 17
2008- 2
2009- 36

Still I think the odds of him hitting 36 again is not great, as with his power increase came a tendency to chase pitches out of the zone.

But a good prediction would be : 90r/29hr/93rbi/8sb/.278avg
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby crazyforbaseball » Wed Feb 10, 2010 10:37 am

Probably a career year but with the 2nd base slot thin in the fantasy department I would take a flier on him.
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby Freebird27 » Fri Mar 05, 2010 3:05 am

It seems that everyone thinks that Hill played over his head last year. While he has been around a while, he turns just 28 later this month. He obviously brought his power number to an entirely different level last year, but did so with constant power numbers throughout..rather than one or two sizzling months.

He may not hit 36 hr's this year unless he can stay injury free and get 680 ab's again, but he's the #4A 2B IMO...along with Cano.
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby Fenris-77 » Fri Mar 05, 2010 12:43 pm

His stats don't really make last year look like that much of an outlier. That's not to say he'll repeat that production, but the only thing in his line that was a jump from his career numbers was the .499 SLG. His BA and OBS were normal anyway, and his BABIP was actually a career low last year, so there's room for improvement from that .288. The difference from last year was a whole whack more at bats and a decent trend of converting some extra base hits into HRs. I dont really expect him to repeat that 36 HR mark, but everything else should be more or less sustainable if he's healthy. You need to shave some Rs and RBIs off because the Jay's are going to suck monkey balls of course, but not too many.
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby zebulon » Sat Mar 06, 2010 11:21 pm

I am sort of forced to keep Hill myself this year. I doubt he hits 36 HRs again. He might be lucky to get over 30. His foundation skills were really not much different between 2009 and 2007. He got very lucky in that more of his flyballs in 2009 went over the fence instead of turning into doubles. To me that's the big difference between him hitting 17 in 2007 and 36 in 2009.

For 2010, I would have to bet that he falls somewhere in the middle. At age 28, he still has some time to make some improvements, but my guess is 2009 was a career year and he could probably be more likely to produce something along the lines of .280-27-85, which for a 2B is still great.
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Re: Aaron Hill

Postby ABA316 » Sun Mar 28, 2010 2:32 pm

For basically spending my 21st round pick to keep him, I'm not going to complain if he only hits 25 HR's this year. :-D
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