5 Keepers - BJ Upton, K. Morales, Mariano?

[TheBull]

I love Upton's "UPSIDE" but even then, i would keep Morales......

[chadam189]

Morales easily. SB's are much less valuable in a 6x6 with OPS, and Morales is definitely for real. Compare the CHONE projections (probably not the best projection system, but it's a subjective way to compare the two players):

Kendry: .286, 22 HR, 63 R, 78 RBI, 4 SB, .854 OPS - in 133 Games with 496 PA's. For comparison, in 2009 he had 154 games and 612 PA's. If you extrapolate CHONE's projection to meet last year's PA total (pretty reasonable assumption):

.286, 26 HR, 73 R, 91 RBI, 5 SB, .854 - and even this projection is a sharp regression from last year's .304, 34 HR, 86 R, 108 RBI, 3 SB, .924 OPS . (I personally don't think he'll regress that much - something in between the extrapolated CHONE and last year's numbers is what I'm projecting.)

Compare this to BJ's CHONE:

.274, 14 HR, 86 R, 66 RBI, 40 SB, .794 OPS

is 13 R and 35 SB's from BJ worth .12 BA, .60 OPS, 12 HR, and 25 RBI? The slight-to-moderate advantages in HR, RBI, BA, OPS outweigh a slight advantage in R and a huge advantage in SB - and this is without considering how much we regressed Morales' performance from 2009.

I think it's Morales in a landslide.

[HOOTIE]

Upton pretty easily

[Elsy]

I have to go with Morales, for all that was stated previously