If you want pitching, you could certainly drop Frazier for Arrieta. I think that Arrieta is a slightly better prospect.
Also, it's my understanding that Starlin Castro is better known for his glove than his bat. Besides, being the top prospect in the Cubs system is kinda like being voted the hottest girl at fat camp. I wouldn't drop any guys or your team for him.
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Steve-o
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warner892001 wrote:what would you see Arrieta's stat line for next year looking like?
Nothing phenomenal. It will be his first year in the show and he plays in the AL east. Still, long term, I think he's a slightly better prospect.
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Steve-o wrote:Also, it's my understanding that Starlin Castro is better known for his glove than his bat. Besides, being the top prospect in the Cubs system is kinda like being voted the hottest girl at fat camp.
I would disagree with both of these. Castro is a 19 year old who's tearing through the AFL and had a nice regular season. There are questions on how much power he'll develop, but the kid's 19, should always hit for avg and has the defensive skills to stay at SS.
The Cubs have passed a lot of teams in organizational ranking with nice development from a number prospects this year. Vitters & Cashner also topped off their seasons with good showings in the AFL. All 3 are top 20-60 prospects. Jay Jackson, Carpenter & Lee all took step forwards and should be ranked in the 70-150 range. #1 pick Brett Jackson should also make some top 100 lists.
As far as the original question, if you're keeping 4 guys I wouldn't worry too much about not having a pitcher. Good chance Arrieta has a better '10 but Frazier is more likely to have more long term fantasy value. Especially if he stays at 2B.
colavito (Memphis, TN): Starlin Castro becomes the top MLB preseason prospect at shortstop in a)2010, b)2011, c) both a and b, or d) none of the above?
Kevin Goldstein: D. None of the above. I think he's becoming one of the more over-rated prospects in the game. Don't get me wrong, I really like him, he's an every day big league shortstop -- and a good one at that, but I don't see impact level at all.
Rob (Alaska): Since you mentioned it re: Starlin Castro, what's the difference in your eyes between "an everyday big league shortstop - and a good one at that" and "impact level"? I guess what I'm asking is how do you define an impact level player?
Kevin Goldstein: Well, let's stick to Castro. He can hit, not doubt. It's a 60 bat, and if you want to throw a future 65+ on it, I'm cool with that. Below average power, doesn't take walks, 4.4 down the line, so he's below average speed and not going to steal bases, he HAS to hit .300 to have value.
Dirk (Calgary): Is projectable power wishcasting for Castro? Is that why he's getting overrated? You seem to think he's more Christian Guzman than Hanley, and I've already seem Hanley comparisons.
Kevin Goldstein: Again, I really like Starlin Castro, he's a very good shortstop prospect. Comparing him to Hanley Ramirez is maybe the most completely and utterly unreal [expletive] ridiculous thing I've heard all year.
Jeff (DC): So at SS, do you see more upside/impact-level potential in D. Gordon than S. Castro?
Kevin Goldstein: Well, you get into ranking philosophy territory here. Yes, Gordon has a higher ceiling that Castro, but if I was going to be on which one had a good big league career, I'd bet on Castro, and I might bet a ton.
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Steve-o
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