I don't know about Cincinnati being improved... In fact, I figure them to take 5th in the NL Central. Kearns probably won't do any better than last year (which was still a respectable .315 with 13 HR's in 103 games), Griffey is just waiting to get hurt again, and Dunn has, IMHO, peaked already. And Russel Branyan, who had 24 HR's last year is likely out for another 2 months.
Granted, Sean Casey should improve on his dismal season, but there's no way Boone will repeat his performance, and if he moves to second, the Reds will have to rely on Brandon Larsen at 3B, and he may not be healthy. Then at SS and C, they've pretty much got nothing, and I don't even want to talk about that dismal rotation, which didn't get much better for losing Elmer Dessens. Hopefully Danny Graves can pull the team out of the crapper with a starting role, but I'm not so sure about that.
On the other hand, the quality of the team has very little to do with the quality of the closer. Williamson should be good. But assuming he's gone, Spooneybarger at least has a *chance* of winning the closer role.