Dynasty League - Quick Trade Question

[skmo2345]

20 Teams, H2H, normal cats + holds and OPS, Keep 21 players

Francisco Liriano for Vladimir Guerrero. Pull the trigger?

Squad
C Matt Wieters (Bal - C)
1B Adrián González (SD - 1B)
2B Dustin Pedroia (Bos - 2B)
3B Aubrey Huff (Bal - 1B,3B)
SS Jhonny Peralta (Cle - 3B,SS)
LF Raúl Ibañez (Phi - LF)
CF Adam Jones (Bal - CF)
RF J.D. Drew (Bos - RF)
Util Plácido Polanco (Det - 2B)
Util Adrián Béltre (Sea - 3B)
BN Joey Votto (Cin - 1B)
BN Rafael Furcal (LAD - SS)
BN Delmon Young (Min - LF)
BN Andy Marte (Cle - 1B,3B)
DL Coco Crisp (KC - CF) DL

SP Sean Marshall (ChC - SP,RP)
SP Jon Lester (Bos - SP)
RP Jonathan Broxton (LAD - RP)
RP Francisco Rodríguez (NYM - RP)
P Phil Coke (NYY - RP)
P Matt Capps (Pit - RP)
P David Weathers (Mil - RP)
P Jhoulys Chacin (Col - RP)
BN Yovani Gallardo (Mil - SP)
BN Francisco Liriano (Min - SP)
BN Chad Billingsley (LAD - SP)
DL Jordan Zimmermann (Was - SP) DL

[Gomez427]

NO chance. Liriano is still young enough to rebound and be a very good pitcher in that deep a league. Vlad is really pretty much done. This owner is trying to rob you.

Please take a look: viewtopic.php?t=395851

[oddmanout7]

Yes Liriano is a good young pitcher who may rebound next year, but Vladdy has been on a tear since coming back from the DL. He has been hitting for power. If he can put you in a slot to make the playoffs this season, I would take it. Vladdy should help you more this season, so long as he can stay on the field. But its not like Liriano has a clean bill of health with all his injury concerns.

And then there is always this...

According to Joe Christensen of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Francisco Liriano is in danger of losing his spot in the starting rotation.
The Twins don't have a whole lot of options, but Liriano has been shaky in recent weeks and is 4-11 with a 5.63 ERA on the year. "We’re talking about a lot of different things," said manager Ron Gardenhire. "The one thing we don’t want to see is him get too far in the dumps. This guy’s got a high ceiling; he’s got great pitches. Right now, he’s pretty frustrated, and we’ll talk about that."

From Aug 6, so I doubt it happens this week, but they are considering making the move, which would certainly hurt his value for the rest of the season.

[MaudDib]

If you think that by doing this trade you have a shot at a title then I would go for it but if not then I would stick with Liriano. I would rather have the young SP than the old OF in a dynasty league.

[bazzy_51]

Id do the deal... i know Liriano is a good young arm, but he hasn't been the same since the injury and i also heard about the potential of him losing his spot in the rotation... and IMO Vlad would be a much better RF option then JD Drew and a much better Keeper if you had to choose between them. plus add ontop of that that your starting rotation is still very strong and still very young i think you almost have to do this deal because if Liriano loses his rotation spot his value plummets even further then it is now..

[skmo2345]

Thanks a bunch for the replies. I really appreciate them. I have been bouncing between everything you guys have said. My initial reaction is the first post; no way, Liriano is a good young arm that can still rebound in the coming years. I want to think that his value can go no lower... but it certainly could. A once-feared slugger is on the table, and his hot bat could certainly help my cause for a championship this season.

Here's some more information if anyone else has an opinion they could share:
- I'm currently 4th (was beaten 10-2 in a close match last week by the 1st place team)
- I'm 10 games behind 1st, 4 games ahead of 7th (6 teams make the playoffs)

I also just traded Delmon Young and Coco Crisp for Ted Lilly; as well as Adrian Beltre and Andy Marte for Gavin Floyd
C Matt Wieters (Bal - C)
1B Adrián González (SD - 1B)
2B Dustin Pedroia (Bos - 2B)
3B Aubrey Huff (Bal - 1B,3B)
SS Jhonny Peralta (Cle - 3B,SS)
LF Raúl Ibañez (Phi - LF)
CF Adam Jones (Bal - CF)
RF J.D. Drew (Bos - RF)
Util Plácido Polanco (Det - 2B)
Util Joey Votto (Cin - 1B)
BN Rafael Furcal (LAD - SS)

SP Sean Marshall (ChC - SP,RP)
SP Jon Lester (Bos - SP)
RP Jonathan Broxton (LAD - RP)
RP Francisco Rodríguez (NYM - RP)
P Phil Coke (NYY - RP)
P Matt Capps (Pit - RP)
P David Weathers (Mil - RP)
P Jhoulys Chacin (Col - RP)
BN Yovani Gallardo (Mil - SP)
BN Francisco Liriano (Min - SP)
BN Chad Billingsley (LAD - SP)
BN Gavin Floyd (CWS - SP)
BN Ted Lilly (ChC - SP) DL
DL Jordan Zimmermann (Was - SP) DL

My farm squad looks like this:
1 - Evans,Terry (11 ABs - RF - LAA)
2 - Gamel, Mat (113 ABs - 3B - Mil)
3 - Guerra, Deolis (0 IPs - SP - Min)
4 - Hinshaw, Alex (45 IPs - RP - SF)
5 - Lambo, Andrew (0 ABs - OF/1B - LAD)
6 - Rodriguez, Sean (demoted)
7 - Rowell, Billy (0 ABs - 3B - Bal)
8 - Salome, Angel (3 ABs - C - Mil)
9 - Sanchez, Anibal (rehab)
10 - Taylor, Michael (0 ABs - OF - Phi)
11 -
12 -

Any other thoughts would be greatly appreciated.

[CubsFan4Life23]

Tough...Liriano could be good, Vlad could get injured again...it's a tough decision....I'd say a bat is worth more than an arm.