Aaron hill keeper value?

[BALCO All-Stars]

I'm having a hard time placing his long term keeper value. He had a decent year in 07 (but not exactly top 5 2b) and was a dog last year...but this year (although he has slowed down lately) he is on a 30+/100/100/.280 pace...what type of hitter is he over the long term? Does he have legit 30 hr power or us this year an illusion?

[J35J]

I'm having a hard time placing his long term keeper value. He had a decent year in 07 (but not exactly top 5 2b) and was a dog last year...but this year (although he has slowed down lately) he is on a 30+/100/100/.280 pace...what type of hitter is he over the long term? Does he have legit 30 hr power or us this year an illusion?

Going forward I think he is still what people thought he could be going into this year....I think his power surge is due to a huge increase in his HR/FB %. I think '07 is a good gauge of what he is with maybe a few more hr as he is at that age where the power is near its peak.

.285avg/20hr/85rbi/85runs/5sb

[Yoda]

Career year. Less chance he repeats.

[activechamp2006]

I'm having a hard time placing his long term keeper value. He had a decent year in 07 (but not exactly top 5 2b) and was a dog last year...but this year (although he has slowed down lately) he is on a 30+/100/100/.280 pace...what type of hitter is he over the long term? Does he have legit 30 hr power or us this year an illusion?

Going forward I think he is still what people thought he could be going into this year....I think his power surge is due to a huge increase in his HR/FB %. I think '07 is a good gauge of what he is with maybe a few more hr as he is at that age where the power is near its peak.

.285avg/20hr/85rbi/85runs/5sb

I agree with your preditions.
Hill is definitely a solid keeper. He should be a top 60 player for years to come.

[JTWood]

.285avg/20hr/85rbi/85runs/5sb

I concur

[mweir145]

.285avg/20hr/85rbi/85runs/5sb

[the izzy]

His keeper value is a lot higher than his trade value, I'll tell you that. I've been shopping him around my keeper league for the last two months. To keep him will only cost a 23rd round pick, and yet nobody is interested. They all say he'll "come back down to earth". IMO he's top 5 2B next year (at least top 7). Now I'm moving B. Roberts, who even though he's having a bad year, has more trade value than A.Hill.

[BALCO All-Stars]

That makes complete sense because Roberts is much more proven then Hill is...now, if next year Hill repeats this year, then you can talk about him being a top 5 2B.