The situation: Most of my hitting stats are good (tops in SB) and mediocre (2nd and 3rd in RBIs, runs, HRs, etc) but my average and OPS are bottom in the league thanks to great draft picks like Rollins and Davis. Anyways, I have been offered Holliday and Ludwick for BJ Upton. I don't have very many high quality players but I do enjoy selling high and buying low.
My team: One year, 11 Team Roto League - 28 moves remaining
R,HR,RBI,SB,AVG,OPS C: Napoli 1B: Pena 2B: Pedroia 3B: Reynolds SS: Drew OF: B. Upton, J. Upton, N. Cruz Util: Victorino, Bay Bench: McGehee, Rollins, J. Lopez, Adam LaRoche DL: Beltre
W,L,K,SV,ERA,WHIP SP: Lincecum, Oswalt, Gallardo, Harang, Gaudin RP: Soria, F. Cordero, Rodney, Nunez
My question: I have a very good mix of outfielders and I'm not too concerned about my depth as I have a couple backups at each position except for catcher. I had Holliday earlier this year before I traded him for Bay. Would Holliday and Ludwick be able to turn their awful/mediocre years around? I don't expect either to outproduce Upton but would this actually help my team? Do I need to continue going the quantity for quality route? If I do, who do I drop? Gaudin? McGehee?
You have to look at this as a straight up Holliday for Upton trade, because you know the other just threw in Ludwick to see if that'd help get a bite. Ludwick is an end-of-lineup outfielder interchangeable with what you could probably get on the wire by playing the hot hand, so in my judgment, Ludwick brings nothing to add to this deal. (Besides, even if he did, in any 2-for-1, you still have to factor in the unnamed player you'd be dropping to make it work.)
So it really comes down to Holliday vs. Upton, and since you've already said you like Upton better, it's hard to see a reason to tell you to make this trade. I can see an argument for why Holliday might be a good buy low candidate, but I'm not altogether convinced myself, so I'm not going to be the guy to turn around and try to convince you.
Holliday may have been higher rated to start the year, but it's not like Upton has come out of nowhere, and Upton has clearly outplayed Holliday so far this year. I say stand pat.