Trade ARod for Wright? WHIR!

[CiminoUM5]

10 team league, H2H. Categories are R, 2B, HR, RBI, BB, AVG, SB, W, L, SV, K, ERA, WHIP.

My team:

C - Wieters
1B - Howard
2B - Sanchez
SS - Drew
3B - ARod
OF - J. Upton, Markakis, Ethier
Util - Victorino
B - Hamilton, Quinten, Votto
SP - Oswalt, Shields, Vasquez, Slowey, Scherzer, Smoltz, Nolasco
RP - Soria, Soriano


I put ARod on the trade block today, not that I'm really wanting to move him while his value's so low, but more just to kick the tires a bit and see if one of the Yankee fans in my league might throw me a good offer. Well me and one of my buddies were talking and he mentioned an ARod for Wright swap. At first I thought it should be a no-brainer that I go for it, until I took a look at Wright's stats (couldn't believe he's only got 4 HRs this year).

This is how I'm seeing the potential pros and cons of the trade for me:

Pros: Big upgrade for me at AVG (currently 10th in the league) and 2B (7th) , upgrade in SB (6th) and BB 9th. There's probably a decent chance that ARod's struggles are related to his hip injury and could lead to an extended DL stint. He's getting up there in age and who knows, maybe he's just breaking down from being off the roids. Wright, despite his new approach at the plate, didn't suddenly lose all his power and is probably a good bet to hit 15-20 more HRs over the course of the season.

Cons: Downgrade at HR, maybe RBI and R. ARod's BABIP is absurdly low at .192, about .130 lower than his career norms. He's playing in a bandbox of a stadium and in that lineup WILL drive in and score a LOT or runs (unless he's still hurting). Wright on the other hand has a ridiculously high BABIP of .468, about .120 higher than his career norms. He obviously doesn't like his new home stadium much and obviously won't have the opportunities to produce in the Mets lineup that ARod does.


My team's in dead last (though not by a huge margin, I'm only 24 games out of first which isn't too bad considering some last place teams I've seen). I think that if most of my DLed guys get healthy and effective, I could have a monster if I can work my way into the playoffs. Not to sound cocky, but I'm just not used to being in this spot when it comes to fantasy baseball/football, and because of that I may be panicking a bit. I've made a lot of moves over the last 2 weeks (traded Beckett for Markakis and Oswalt, dropped Downs for Nolaso, Hardy for Votto, C. Davis for Smoltz) and am at the point where I need some outside advice on whether I should just sit tight and let things play out, or keep on dealing.

[mdterpfan511]

Do it, man. Wright is bound to get on a HR surge sometime this season. Don't expect him to have any less than 20 HR.

[Red5]

I would do this. The thing that made the decision for me is the fact that you have 7 offensive categories. In the 5x5 style that I play, this would be a much harder choice because of A-Rod's potential to kill Wright in HR. However, if Wright's HR numbers truly don't bounce back (and he's had some monster 2nd halves recently) I think he will hit 2Bs instead (due to that new home park). Add in the risk inherent with A-Rod's hip, Wright stealing like crazy, and I make this deal for sure.

Please help with mine:
viewtopic.php?t=391004

[Deesul]

I'd do this. In his current sell low status you are actually getting great value for him considering your league's format. They are both studs though, you are simply taking the safer bet in my view.

Help with mine?
http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=390995

[kidsilk]

I would actually keep ARod I think. I have never been as huge a fan of WRight as most and just think ARod will end up with better power numbers when it is all said and done. Just my opinion.

thanks for your help with mine

[wkpdpack]

I like this deal. If you can get Wright for ARod, I'd do it. ARod already admitted he's playing dog tired. Not a good sign when he missed the first month of the season. His power numbers are good, but his average his horrid. While he should bring that up some, I just don't see him the same player as he was and I definitely don't see him swiping as many bases as he has in the past.

Please help with my post viewtopic.php?t=391011