David Wright is not a top 5 pick next year. No way. Not until he (or other Mets) can prove that Citi doesn't have an effect on offensive numbers. Bobby Abreu has better numbers than Wright right now.
I understand his average might not be something to write home about but doesn't the progress Mark Reynolds has made at the plate deserve some top 25 recognition? 30-20 at 3rd or 1st, I'll take it.
da bears wrote:I understand his average might not be something to write home about but doesn't the progress Mark Reynolds has made at the plate deserve some top 25 recognition? 30-20 at 3rd or 1st, I'll take it.
I don't think so. To be a Top 25 pick, you've got to have almost zero to no risk. Of course high picks bust all the time, look at this year's class (Wright, Sizemore, Rollins, Reyes, etc.) But the guys who have had at least a couple stud years are the only ones deserving to be drafted in the top 2 rounds because they offer the most minimal risk and high return investment due to their record. I think that's why Longoria was such a hard classification this year, because many people thought he could be a first rounder but didn't want to take a chance on him that early. Mark Reynolds has never shown he can hit for average, and I'm not buying his steals (his rate has dramatically decreased even prior to the second half.) I don't think you can call him a perennial 40 homer guy until he does it again next year too.
da bears wrote:I understand his average might not be something to write home about but doesn't the progress Mark Reynolds has made at the plate deserve some top 25 recognition? 30-20 at 3rd or 1st, I'll take it.
I don't think so. To be a Top 25 pick, you've got to have almost zero to no risk. Of course high picks bust all the time, look at this year's class (Wright, Sizemore, Rollins, Reyes, etc.) But the guys who have had at least a couple stud years are the only ones deserving to be drafted in the top 2 rounds because they offer the most minimal risk and high return investment due to their record. I think that's why Longoria was such a hard classification this year, because many people thought he could be a first rounder but didn't want to take a chance on him that early. Mark Reynolds has never shown he can hit for average, and I'm not buying his steals (his rate has dramatically decreased even prior to the second half.) I don't think you can call him a perennial 40 homer guy until he does it again next year too.
See - Josh Hamilton
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I like your list pretty well. I think Wright will be gone by 15th at the latest though, and with Bay's swoon lately I don't think he'll end up in the top 25, probably 30-40.
So a guy who over the past two seasons has hit a HR every 16-17 plate appearances, is 25 years old, improved his walk rate, has shown a bit of speed, and plays 3rd base isn't top 25 material but Curtis Granderson is? Seems like people don't really want to believe this guy is actually improving.
da bears wrote:So a guy who over the past two seasons has hit a HR every 16-17 plate appearances, is 25 years old, improved his walk rate, has shown a bit of speed, and plays 3rd base isn't top 25 material but Curtis Granderson is? Seems like people don't really want to believe this guy is actually improving.
Granderson has been putting up his current line for 3 seasons now, that is why people would value him more. Reynolds line other than his power came out of the blue.
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by lastingsgriller » Fri Jul 31, 2009 10:07 am 
