by jake_twothousandfive » Tue Jun 16, 2009 11:50 pm
This is a difficult question.
Personally, I almost always go with the safer picks. I try to avoid the flashy prospects and up-and-comers and stick with the safer veterans. In this case, Hawpe certainly fits that mold much better than someone like Zobrist.
However, Zobrist is showing now signs of slowing down. When you consider that he finished last year strong as well, he has really played about 4 months of outstanding baseball straight. Looking further into his stats, nothing shouts outliner. His BABIP is about where it should be, his HR/FB rate is due to regress slightly but nothing major, he's rarely caught stealing bases, his BB/K rate is up, his contact rate is in line with his career percentages, etc. There's really nothing that indicates a slowdown is likely.
All in all, Zobrist looks to be a better bet than Barmes for the remainder of the season. Since you have more than enough OF depth to replace Hawpe I'd say in this case the breakout player trumps the relatively safe bet.
All things considered, I'd pull the trigger.
"Don't take anything for granted, because tomorrow is not promised to any of us." ---Kirby Puckett
Zobrist is in a better lineup and contributes in every category, plus he is eligible at three positions. Even if he cools in terms of home runs and rbi, he'll still get you runs and steals.
jake_twothousandfive wrote:This is a difficult question.
Personally, I almost always go with the safer picks. I try to avoid the flashy prospects and up-and-comers and stick with the safer veterans. In this case, Hawpe certainly fits that mold much better than someone like Zobrist.
However, Zobrist is showing now signs of slowing down. When you consider that he finished last year strong as well, he has really played about 4 months of outstanding baseball straight. Looking further into his stats, nothing shouts outliner. His BABIP is about where it should be, his HR/FB rate is due to regress slightly but nothing major, he's rarely caught stealing bases, his BB/K rate is up, his contact rate is in line with his career percentages, etc. There's really nothing that indicates a slowdown is likely.
All in all, Zobrist looks to be a better bet than Barmes for the remainder of the season. Since you have more than enough OF depth to replace Hawpe I'd say in this case the breakout player trumps the relatively safe bet.
jake_twothousandfive wrote:This is a difficult question.
Personally, I almost always go with the safer picks. I try to avoid the flashy prospects and up-and-comers and stick with the safer veterans. In this case, Hawpe certainly fits that mold much better than someone like Zobrist.
However, Zobrist is showing now signs of slowing down. When you consider that he finished last year strong as well, he has really played about 4 months of outstanding baseball straight. Looking further into his stats, nothing shouts outliner. His BABIP is about where it should be, his HR/FB rate is due to regress slightly but nothing major, he's rarely caught stealing bases, his BB/K rate is up, his contact rate is in line with his career percentages, etc. There's really nothing that indicates a slowdown is likely.
All in all, Zobrist looks to be a better bet than Barmes for the remainder of the season. Since you have more than enough OF depth to replace Hawpe I'd say in this case the breakout player trumps the relatively safe bet.
All things considered, I'd pull the trigger.
I couldn't have said anything better myself, so I'll just give this post a few
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