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Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

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Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby killerbeez » Tue Jun 02, 2009 1:54 pm

h2h 12 team keeper league

I just dropped Jhonny Peralta this morning for John Danks. I figured my SPs are the weakest position of my team so I needed to roll the dice on Danks hoping he can turn it around. Although with this transaction, my bench for my batters is gone, (Manny is on my bench :-P ) yet, I do feel that if i do pick up someone, all he will do is sit on the bench with the occasional spot start when a starter isn't playing since I do feel my bats are solid. I know having Clay Buchholz on my roster is not helping me at the moment but with the lack of a true, dominant ace on my roster, the possiblility of him being one in the future is keeping him on my team. I guess my dilemma is, should I pick up Rafael Furcal and hope he can turn his season around (hope has been the theme with my SPs as well which isn't good :-o ) and if so, which SP should I drop?

C Mike Napoli
1B Albert Pujols
2B Ian Kinsler
SS Asdrubal Cabrera
3B Aubrey Huff
OF Shane Victorino, Nate McLouth, Justin Upton
Util Ryan Ludwick
Bn Manny Ramirez


SP Erik Bedard, Francisco Liriano
RP Joe Nathan, Chad Qualls, Andrew Bailey
Bn Scott Baker, Matt Garza, Jordan Zimmerman, Phil Hughes, Clay Buchholz, John Danks
DL Troy Percival, Justin Duchscherer

Also, i know Brett Myers is gone til September but is it safe to drop Percival and stash Myers?
Last edited by killerbeez on Tue Jun 02, 2009 3:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby rib217 » Tue Jun 02, 2009 2:16 pm

Don't waste your time with Brett Myers.

I'd rather have Peralta than Furcal personally. Over the last month Peralta has been pretty solid with the exception of HR's.

Zimmerman and Hughes are both fairly expendable if you wanted to go with Furcal/Peralta

thanks for help on mine
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby sixer03fan » Tue Jun 02, 2009 2:31 pm

I would drop Zimmerman for Furcal or try to pick up Peralta again. good luck.

help?
viewtopic.php?t=388268
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby wallywojo » Tue Jun 02, 2009 2:41 pm

Is Hardy available on the FA pool?

Otherwise, I agree with the other poster and would rather have Peralta.
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby BUCCOFAN » Tue Jun 02, 2009 2:51 pm

Forget Myers he is probably lost for the season just like Percival.

I would pickup Furcal, and dump Zimmerman, he will never get any victory's with that sad sack of a club.

PLEASE HELP ME:
http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=388271
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby Tom Emanski AllStars » Tue Jun 02, 2009 3:04 pm

forget Myers (unless you plan on him being one of your keepers :-P )

I'd try to pick Peralta back up, i like him more than Furcal (whose had injury problems 2 years running)
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby killerbeez » Tue Jun 02, 2009 3:08 pm

wallywojo wrote:Is Hardy available on the FA pool?

Otherwise, I agree with the other poster and would rather have Peralta.


Hardy isn't available. Noteworthy FAs are:

Furcal, Peralta (who i just dropped this morn :-o ), Atkins (another "hope" candidate)

Also, should i continue to count on Mike Napoli or try these WW catchers:

John Baker, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Dioner Navarro

i'm thinking stand pat and maybe work out a deal to possibly acquire Joe Mauer
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby ltrocq » Tue Jun 02, 2009 3:52 pm

you have plenty of guys you could drop - liriano, baker, zimmerman, percival

you should have held on to peralta
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Re: Overloaded on SPs.... WHIR

Postby killerbeez » Tue Jun 02, 2009 5:09 pm

I guess I won't have to worry about Peralta being available... he's just like David Ortiz

From Baseball Daily Digest:

Peralta’s Power Outage

by Craig Brown on Tuesday, June 2, 2009 3:10 pm EDT | Permanent Link
Everyone knows about David Ortiz and the Great Power Outage of 2009. But a quick look at the home run tallies from this season shows he’s not the only one who can’t buy a home run. A similar power outage is underway in Cleveland where shortstop Jhonny Peralta has, like Ortiz, hit just a single home run this year. This is coming after a 2008 season where he hit 23 home runs - one off his career high - and 42 doubles.

Peralta has always trended more to the ground ball side of the batted ball equation. His career GB/FB ratio stands at 1.4. Aside from his first 300 plate appearances between 2003 and 2004 where his ratio was 1.8, he’s been fairly consistent in the 1.3 to 1.4 range. This year, however, he’s slipped back to the extreme ground ball tendencies he exhibited early in his career with a GB/FB ratio of 1.9.

The increase in ground balls is coming at the expense of both fly balls and line drives. In other words, he’s not making good contact. Compare his batted ball rates from last year when he hit 42 doubles and 23 home runs, to this season:

2008
20.2% LD, 43.6% GB, 36.2% FB

2009
16.5% LD, 54.3% GB, 29.1% FB

More ground balls don’t necessarily mean fewer base hits. But they most certainly mean less power. The result of Peralta’s worm-killing tendencies has been a steep decrease in ISO, from .197 last year, to his current rate of .070 this season. That’s quite a slide.

Peralta’s contact rates themselves haven’t changed all that much. At least not enough to raise a red flag. He’s making contact (either a foul or ball in play) on 76% of his swings, which is right in line with his career percentage. So it’s not the quantity of contact, it’s the quality of contact.

My new colleague at BDD, Zach Sanders, looked at Peralta’s teammate Kelly Shoppach and found a similar decrease in fly ball rate. My first thought was perhaps there’s a common organizational thread where for some bizarre reason the Indians are emphasizing basic contact at the expense of power. (Hey, crazier things have happened. I’m in Kansas City where a few years ago the organization decided that strikeouts were bad… For their pitchers.) Indians hitting coach, Derek Shelton is in his fifth season, so he’s been Peralta’s coach for most of his big league career. That also leads me to believe that there wasn’t some kind of crazy tinkering going on that sapped Peralta of his power.

The good news is, if anyone should know Peralta’s swing, it’s Shelton. The bad news is, this power outage has gone on for two full months. Peralta’s last extra base hit was a double against the Kansas City Royals back on May 21. That was 40 plate appearances ago. His only home run came on May 1, 110 plate appearances ago.

This isn’t a minor power outage… It’s a full scale blackout.
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